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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (36129)	9/8/2021 1:23:46 PM
From: Qone0	1 Recommendation Recommended By ajtj99 Respond to of 97597

This is going on in Idaho right now. Idaho public health leaders announced Tuesday that they activated “crisis standards of care” allowing health care rationing for the state’s northern hospitals because there are more coronavirus patients than the institutions can handle. The Idaho Department of Health and Welfare quietly enacted the move Monday and publicly announced it in a statement Tuesday morning — warning residents that they may not get the care they would normally expect if they need to be hospitalized. The state health agency cited “a severe shortage of staffing and available beds in the northern area of the state caused by a massive increase in patients with COVID-19 who require hospitalization.” The designation includes 10 hospitals and healthcare systems in the Idaho panhandle and in north-central Idaho. The agency said its goal is to extend care to as many patients as possible and to save as many lives as possible. The move allows hospitals to allot scarce resources like intensive care unit rooms to patients most likely to survive and make other dramatic changes to the way they treat patients. Other patients will still receive care, but they may be placed in hospital classrooms or conference rooms rather than traditional hospital rooms or go without some life-saving medical equipment. Urgent and elective surgeries are on hold, Scoggins said, and Kootenai Health is struggling to accept any of the high-level trauma patients that would normally be transferred from the smaller hospitals in the region. Idaho Hospitals Begin Rationing Health Care Amid COVID-19 Surge (msn.com)

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (36129)	9/8/2021 1:25:41 PM
From: ajtj99	3 Recommendations Recommended By Lou Weed Sun Tzu towerdog Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 97597

The US 7-day average for hospitalizations is around 96,000, and the number in the ICU is about 26,000. What's interesting is the 7-day peak in January ICU patients was about 28,500 while the hospitalizations were about 128,000. The Delta variant is about 20% more likely than the Alpha variant to send people to the ICU.

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (36129)	10/6/2021 11:55:15 AM
From: Jacob Snyder	4 Recommendations Recommended By ajtj99 chip edward miller Lee Lichterman III Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 97597

Covid predictions: 1. The daily case count will continue to decline. Also hospitalizations and deaths. 2. The slope of the decline is becoming less steep, for the US and globally. This indicates we will follow the UK pattern. My guess (and that is my degree of certainty): US cases plateau at 50k/d, the world at 300k/d. 3. The economic and social effects of covid are proportional to hospitalizations and deaths, not to case rates. 4. At those plateau levels, ICU beds will be available in rich nations, with a few exceptions (like Alaska). 5. Death rates will decline more than case rates, because of better treatment. US death rates will plateau at (very roughly) 500/d. 6. This is our new normal. People get used to anything, if it goes on long enough. We will find other things to worry about. 7. Vaccinations globally are steadily ring-fencing the direct damage covid does. Over time, viruses tend to get more infectious and less lethal. 8. New variants are possible, causing more (but lower) waves. 9. The indirect damage (secondary and tertiary effects) will reverberate for years. A re-assessment of just-in-time globalization. Even less trust in Authority. Increasing inequality, between nations, between classes. Increasing anger caused by inequality.