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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: chowder who wrote (839)	3/1/2022 3:17:22 PM
From: chowder	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21743

Re: Young Folk Portfolio ... Add On Buys. Today I add to MS, DHI and TU. These purchases were the result of determining a company's intrinsic value via a dividend cash flow (DCF) model. In valuing equity, securities analysts may use fundamental analysis—as opposed to technical analysis—to estimate the intrinsic value of a company. Here the "intrinsic" characteristic considered is the expected cash flow production of the company in question. Intrinsic value is therefore defined to be the present value of all expected future net cash flows to the company; i.e. it is calculated via discounted cash flow valuation. An alternative, though related approach, is to view intrinsic value as the value of a business' ongoing operations, as opposed to its accounting based book value, or break-up value. Warren Buffett is known for his ability to calculate the intrinsic value of a business, and then buy that business when its price is at a discount to its intrinsic value. In determining a companies intrinsic value, there are 3 stages on can base their valuation on. Here are those stages: 1) Bear Scenario 2) Base Scenario 3) Bull Scenario The Base Scenario is the middle price between Bull and Bear. In all 3 stages, all 3 companies are selling at a discount to its intrinsic value. The Base Scenario has the following discounts to fair value: MS - 46% discount. DHI - 46% discount TU - 15% discount. Until the end of the month, the only other expected purchases to be made between now and then are dividends being reinvested into a majority of the holdings.

To: chowder who wrote (839)	4/2/2022 5:57:50 AM
From: chowder	2 Recommendations Recommended By Markbn MinionMom&MarineWife Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 21743

Re: YOUNG FOLK PORTFOLIO ... UPDATED 4/1/22 This portfolio, formally known as Project $3 Million went public in 2009 with $42,205. Portfolio Objective: $3 Million Income Objective: $120k/year Time To Retirement: 40 years $500/mo. contribution. Has been raised to $600 monthly. This portfolio is now in its 13th year and here are the latest numbers: ------------------- TO STAY ON SCHEDULE - Year End 2022 Results Needed To Be: Year End 2022 Balance - $261,952 Currently - $336,644 Year End 2022 Dividend Cash Flows - $3,672 Currently - $7,094 Both Portfolio Value and Dividend Cash Flow objectives have already exceeded year end 2022 objectives. ------------------ WHERE THE PORTFOLIO STANDS:: Portfolio balance ... $336,644 Annual dividends ... $7,094 (forward 12 mos.) Portfolio yield ..... 2.11% Dividend Growth 5 years ... 6.2% Chowder Number ... 8.31 Holdings ... 60 Beta ... 0.79 A full position = $4,000 each. -------------------- Combined Portfolio (taxable and Roth accounts) - Sector Percentages Minus CEF's CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY -- 22% of portfolio value. Position - Size - Gain/Loss McDonald's (MCD) ........ $11,599 .. +149.2% Target (TGT) .................. $10,460 . +157.1% Tesla (TSLA) .................. $9,761 .. +66.5% Dollar General (DG) ....... $9,432 .. +173.8% Home Depot (HD) .......... $8,637 .. +67.0% Nike (NKE) ..................... $7,277 .. +96.3% Amazon (AMZN) ............ $6,542 .. +12.4% D.R. Horton (DHI) .......... $2,666 .. <-12.0%> Starbucks (SBUX) ......... $2,434 .. +62.4% Tractor Supply (TSCO) .. $2,267 .. +4.7% INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY -- 17% of portfolio value. Automatic Data Proc. (ADP) .. $12,243 .. +242.5% Microsoft (MSFT) ................... $10,841 .. +0.3% Mastercard (MA) .................... $8,792 .... +82.1% NVIDIA (NVDA) ..................... $6,412 .... +18.9% Apple (AAPL) ........................ $6,281 .... +1.3% KLA Corporation (KLAC) ....... $3,242 ... +0.5% Broadcom (AVGO) ................ $3,144 ... +22.6% Texas Instruments (TXN) ...... $2,372 ... <-0.9%> HEALTHCARE -- 16% of portfolio value. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) ........... $11,494 .. +98.4% Abbott Laboratories (ABT) ........... $9,231 .. +87.9% Anthem (ANTM) ........................... $8,517 .. +15.3% Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) .. $5,333 .. <-3.0%> Abbvie (ABBV) ............................ $4,791 .. +45.0% Eli Lilly (LLY) ............................... $2,972 .. +17.6% STERIS plc (STE) ....................... $2,480 .. +11.6% Amgen (AMGN) .......................... $2,431 .. +12.0% Stryker (SYK) .............................. $2,155 .. +4.1% INDUSTRIALS -- 14% of portfolio value. Lockheed Martin (LMT) ... $14,012 .. +128.1% Deere & Company (DE) .. $12,094 .. +228.2% Norfolk Southern (NSC) .. $6,965 .... +95.7% Caterpillar (CAT) ............. $4,595 .... +105.1% Cintas (CTAS) ................. $2,967 ... +10.6% Parker-Hannifan (PH) ..... $2,264 ... <-4.7%> CONSUMER STAPLES -- 13% of portfolio value. Pepsi (PEP) ..................... $10,274 .. +73.2% Procter & Gamble (PG) .... $8,553 ... +7.6% Costco (COST) ................ $5,740 ... +171.4% Sysco (SYY) .................... $5,102 ... +127.5% McComick & Co. (MKC) .. $2,726 ... +60.3% Coca-Cola (KO) ............... $2,604 .. +88.2% General Mills (GIS) .......... $2,458 .. +58.2% Hershey (HSY) ................ $2,193 .. +22.8% Kimberly-Clark (KMB) ..... $2,012 .. +25.1% UTILITIES -- 8% of portfolio value. Southern Company (SO) ............ $9,371 .. +68.1% NextEra Energy (NEE) ............... $8,215 .. +85.6% Duke Energy (DUK) ................... $5,128 .. +24.3% American Water Works (AWK) .. $3,250 .. +55.4% FINANCIALS -- 3% of portfolio value. S&P Global (SPGI) .......... $2,855 .. <-1.0%> T. Rowe Price (TROW) .... $2,625 .. <-15.4%> Prudential (PRU) ............. $2,569 .. +14.9% Morgan Stanley (MS) ...... $2,523 .. <-9.9%> COMUNICATIONS -- 3% of portfolio value. Alphabet (GOOGL) .. $5,606 .. +6.7% Telus (TU) ................ $2,701 .. +8.9% AT&T (T) .................. $2,230 .. +1.1% REAL ESTATE -- 2% of portfolio value. Realty Income (O) .. $6,423 .. +40.0% MATERIALS -- 2% of portfolio value. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) .................. $3,329 .. <-6.3%> Air Products and Chemicals (APD) .. $2,490 .. <-4.1%> ENERGY -- 0% of portfolio value. -------------------------------------------------- Closed End Funds (CEF's) Reaves Utility Income (UTG) ..................... $5,931 .. +5.3% PIMCO Corporate & Income Fund (PTY) .. $4,413 .. <-4.8%> Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation (ARDC) ... $4,386 .. +5.4% Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Fund (EXG) .. $4,189 .. +0.1% -------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS FROM LAST UPDATE: DG increased the dividend by 31% SPGI increased the dividend by 10% O increased the dividend by 0.2%