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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chowder who wrote (840)3/1/2022 3:28:54 PM
From: chowder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 21720
 
Re; Old Folk Portfolio ... New Buys

Today I started new positions in ANTM and MS.

These purchases were the result of determining a company's intrinsic value via a dividend cash flow (DCF) model.

In valuing equity, securities analysts may use fundamental analysis—as opposed to technical analysis—to estimate the intrinsic value of a company. Here the "intrinsic" characteristic considered is the expected cash flow production of the company in question. Intrinsic value is therefore defined to be the present value of all expected future net cash flows to the company; i.e. it is calculated via discounted cash flow valuation.

An alternative, though related approach, is to view intrinsic value as the value of a business' ongoing operations, as opposed to its accounting based book value, or break-up value. Warren Buffett is known for his ability to calculate the intrinsic value of a business, and then buy that business when its price is at a discount to its intrinsic value.

In determining a companies intrinsic value, there are 3 stages on can base their valuation on. Here are those stages:

1) Bear Scenario

2) Base Scenario

3) Bull Scenario

The Base Scenario is the middle price between Bull and Bear. In all 3 stages, all 3 companies are selling at a discount to its intrinsic value.

The Base Scenario has the following discounts to fair value:

MS - 46% discount.

ANTM - 30% discount.



To: chowder who wrote (840)4/2/2022 12:18:57 PM
From: chowder3 Recommendations

Recommended By
Markbn
Rincon v2.0
Waitress

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 21720
 
Re: OLD FOLK PORTFOLIO ... Updated 4/1/22

Portfolio Balance: $6,546,498
Forward 12 months income: $281,183
Portfolio yield: 4.30%
Dividend Growth 5 Years: 3.7%
Holdings: 111
Beta: 0.57

** INCOME GROWTH **

2017 - $91,556.12
2018 - $132,548.54
2019 - $174,588.90
2020 - $213,374.56
2021 - $257,279.04

HOLDINGS: ($65,000 equals a Full Position) - Percentages below do not include CEF's or ETF's.

----------------------------------------------
UTILITIES -- 29% of portfolio value - % of income.

NextEra Energy (NEE) ........................ $170,563 .. 1.2%
Southern Company (SO) ..................... $167,105 .. 2.1%
Sempra (SRE) ..................................... $166,252 .. 1.6%
Xcel Energy (XEL) ............................... $163,615 .. 1.6%
Duke Energy (DUK) ............................. $156,567 .. 1.9%
WEC Energy (WEC) ............................ $132,177 .. 1.4%
American Electric (AEP) ........................ $92,171 .. 1.0%
Brookfield Infrastructure Corp. (BIPC) ... $82,744 .. 0.8%
American Water Works (AWK) .............. $76,991 .. 0.4%
Alliant Energy (LNT) .............................. $75,062 .. 0.7%
Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) ........ $53,520 .. 0.8%
CenterPoint Energy (CNP) .................... $30,527 .. 0.2%
Dominion Energy (D) ............................. $29,698 .. 0.3%
Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP) .. $26,180 .. 0.3%

CONSUMER STAPLES -- 18% of portfolio value - % of income

Procter & Gamble (PG) .. $160,383 .. 1.3%
Pepsi (PEP) ................... $136,188 .. 1.3%
Coca-Cola (KO) ............. $134,029 .. 1.3%
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) .... $125,901 .. 1.7%
Altria (MO) ..................... $115,329 .. 2.8%
General Mills (GIS) ......... $83,477 .. 0.9%
Unilever (UL) .................. $72,649 .. 1.1%
J.M. Smucker (SJM) ...... $35,890 .. 0.4%
Mondelez (MDLZ) ........... $7,242 ... 0.1%

HEALTHCARE -- 11% of portfolio value - % of income.

Abbvie (ABBV) .................... $173,417 .. 2.1%
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) .. $148,971 .. 1.3%
Amgen (AMGN) ................... $95,789 .. 1.1%
Abbott Laboratories (ABT) .. $74,705 ... 0.4%
CVS Health (CVS) .............. $27,294 ... 0.2%
Anthem (ANTM) ................. $23,469 ... 0.1%

FINANCIALS -- 11% of portfolio value - % of income.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) ........... $139,354 .. 1.8%
Bank of Montreal (BMO) .................. $110,907 .. 1.4%
Prudential (PRU) ............................... $89,866 .. 1.3%
Royal Bank of Canada (RY) .............. $63,320 .. 0.8%
Canadian Imperial Bank (CM) ........... $59,865 .. 0.9%
Old Republic International (ORI) ....... $32,453 .. 0.4%
Morgan Stanley (MS) ........................ $19,660 .. 0.2%
Hercules Capital (HTGC) .................. $10,288 .. 0.3%
Ares Capital (ARCC) .......................... $5,209 .. 0.1%
Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) .... $5,094 .. 0.2%

REAL ESTATE -- 9% of portfolio value - % of income.

Realty Income (O) ....... $160,457 .. 2.4%
W. P. Carey (WPC) ...... $110,333 .. 2.0%
Crown Castle (CCI) ...... $52,364 .. 0.6%
VICI Properties (VICI) .. $41,269 .. 0.7%
Agree Realty (ADC) ..... $41,230 .. 0.6%
Netstreit (NTST) ........... $40,687 .. 0.5%

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY -- 9% of portfolio value - % of income.

Genuine Parts Co. (GPC) .. $113,413 .. 1.1%
Home Depot (HD) .............. $107,473 .. 1.0%
Target (TGT) ...................... $92,427 .... 0.6%
Leggett & Platt (LEG) ........ $44,057 .... 0.7%
TJX Companies (TJX) ....... $25,330 .... 0.2%
D.R. Horton (DHI) .............. $23,311 .... 0.1%
Nike (NKE) ........................ $21,096 .... 0.1%

COMMUNICATIONS -- 4% of portfolio value - % of income.

Verizon (VZ) .. $108,097
Telus (TU) ....... $62,158
AT&T (T) ......... $18,537

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY -- 4% of portfolio value - % of income.

Broadcom (AVGO) ............. $60,190 .. 0.6%
Microsoft (MSFT) ............... $52,911 .. 0.2%
Texas Instruments (TXN) ... $29,133 .. 0.3%
Mastercard (MA) ................ $23,658 .. < 0.1%
Applied Materials (AMAT) .. $20,895 .. 0.1%

INDUSTRIALS -- 3% of portfolio value - % of income.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) .... $111,049 .. 1.0%
General Dynamics (GD) ... $31,284 ... 0.2%
Parker-Hannifin (PH) ........ $25,398 ... 0.1%

ENERGY -- 1% of portfolio value - % of income

Enbridge (ENB) .. $60,413 .. 1.2%

MATERIALS -- < 1% of portfolio value - % of income

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) .. $21,662 .. 0.1%

--------------------------------------------

Closed End Funds (CEF's) and Exchange Traded Funds (ETF's)

Reaves Utility Income (UTG) ................................... $162,938 .. 3.8%
DNP Select Income (DNP) ........................................ $76,526 .. 1.8%
Virtus AllianzGI Artificial Intelligence (AIO) ................ $63,745 .. 1.8%
Cohen & Steers Infrastructure (UTF) ......................... $61,343 .. 1.4%
Cohen & Steers REIT and Preferred (RNP) .............. $56,245 .. 1.2%
Calamos Strategic Total Return (CSQ) ...................... $55,482 .. 1.4%
PIMCO Corporate Income (PTY) ............................... $54,452 .. 1.8%
Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Dividend (ETO) ... $53,750 .. 1.4%
Global X Russell 2000 Covered Call (RYLD) ............. $50,073 .. 2.2%
Global X S&P 500 Covered Calls (XYLD) .................. $50,008 .. 1.7%
BlackRock Science and Technology (BST) ............... $49,011 .. 1.2%
Liberty All-Star Growth (ASG) .................................... $47,859 .. 1.3%
Tekla Healthcare Opportunities (THQ) ....................... $44,932 .. 1.0%
BlackRock Science and Technology II (BSTZ) ........... $44,641 .. 1.2%
BlackRock Health Sciences II (BMEZ) ....................... $43,778 .. 1.3%
Eaton Vance Tax-Advantage Dividends (EVT) ........... $38,467 .. 0.9%
Cohen & Steers Total Return Realty (RFI) ................. $38,412 .. 0.8%
Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Buy-Write (EXD) ............. $34,220 .. 0.9%
Tortoise Energy Infrastructure (TYG) .......................... $33,747 .. 1.0%
Special Opportunities (SPE) ....................................... $33,413 .. 1.1%
Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (QYLD) ............ $32,376 .. 1.5%
Eaton Vance Municipal (EIM) ..................................... $30,603 .. 0.5%
Gabelli Dividend & Income (GDV) .............................. $30,478 .. 0.6%
BlackRock Health Sciences (BME) ............................ $30,148 .. 0.6%
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation (ARDC) .................... $27,462 .. 0.8%
Eagle Point Income (EIC) ........................................... $27,266 .. 0.8%
BlackRock Enhanced Capital and Growth (CII) ......... $27,027 .. 0.5%
Nuveen Floating Rate (JRO) ...................................... $26,382 .. 0.6%
BlackRock Enhanced Dividend (BDJ) ........................ $26,135 .. 0.6%
Voya Infrastructure (IDE) ............................................ $25,889 .. 0.7%
Eaton Vance Short Duration Diversified (EVG) .......... $25,404 .. 1.0%
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities (GOF) .............. $24,868 .. 1.0%
AllianceBernstein Municipal Income (AFB) ................ $23,693 .. 0.4%
DWS Municipal Income (KTF) .................................... $23,143 .. 0.4%
Eaton Vance Municipal (EVN) .................................... $22,853 .. 0.9%
AllianzeGI & Convertible Income (NIE) ...................... $21,843 .. 0.6%
Delaware Investments Dividends (DDF) .................... $20,090 .. 0.7%
Voya Global Equity (IGD) ........................................... $19,662 .. 0.6%
BlackRock Enhanced International Dividend (BGY) .. $19,142 .. 0.5%
Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write (ETW) . $18,519 ..0.6%
Voya Global Advantage (IGA) .................................... $17,262 .. 0.5%
Calamos Dynamic Convertible and Income (CCD) ... $16,415 .. 0.5%
Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Diversified Equity (ETY) . $11,492 .. 0.3%
Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Buy-Write (ETV) ............. $11,324 .. 0.3%
Eaton Vance Enhanced Equity (EOI) ......................... $11,223 .. 0.3%
Eaton Vance Enhanced Equity II (EOS) ..................... $9,997 ... 0.3%
Ares Capital (ARCC) .................................................. $5,209 .... 0.1%

---------------------------------------

HIGHLIGHTS SINCE LAST UPDATE:

BDJ increased the distribution by 12%
CVS increased the dividend by 10%
AMAT increased the dividend by 8.3%
GD increased the dividend by 5.9%
ORI increased the dividend by 4.5%
SRE increased the dividend by 4.1%
O increased the dividend by 0.2%
WPC increased the dividend by 0.2%