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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: chowder who wrote (898)	4/4/2022 10:50:20 AM
From: chowder	1 Recommendation Recommended By peterad Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21731

Re: Old Folk Portfolio .. Add On Buys With over $20K per month coming into the portfolio in dividends alone, I have cash to put to work on a regular basis. Today I added to: HD .. BMO .. VICI .. DHI .. MS .. AQN DHI - The home builders have been taking a hit and I bought on this price weakness. It is a value play with double digit earnings growth expectations this year. When I use the DCF Model to determine the intrinsic value of DHI, I come up with the following valuations. Rate - Intrinsic Value - Premium/Discount < > represents the discount Bull Rate - $246.03 .. <52%> Base Rate - $157.71 .. <69%> Bear Rate - $113.50 .. <33%> So whether you are Bullish, Neutral or Bearish on DHI, you have 3 levels of fair value. As of the close Friday, the price was $76.18. So regardless of your view, DHI was selling at a discount to its intrinsic value. Analysts Ratings - Buy or Strong Buy - Hold - Sell 40 - 13 - 0 .. Wall St. is Bullish on DHI. ----------------------------------- AQN was simply a value play in a hot sector (utilities). Intrinsic Value: Bull Rate - $31.46 .. <50%> Base Rate - $21.13 .. <26%> Bear Rate - $17.39 .. <10%> Analysts Ratings: 15 - 10 - 2 ------------------------------- VICI a value play with double digit earnings growth expected this year. Intrinsic Value: Bull Rate - $55.58 .. <48%> Base Rate - $40.48 .. <29%> Bear Rate - $32.02 .. <10%> Analysts Ratings: 47 - 3 - 0 ... They really like this one. ------------------------------ BMO another value play with respectable earnings growth. It rated out the highest of all the Canadian Banks. Intrinsic Value: Bull Rate - $310.04 .. <62%> Base Rate - $194.49 .. <40%> Bear - $151.92 .. <23%> Analysts Ratings: 22 - 5 - 0 -------------------------------- HD - I don't know. I could have waited for a better price point but it's dropped 28% so far from its 52 week high so I threw a few dollars at it. Intrinsic Value: Bull Rate - $374.10 .. <19%> Base Rate: - $256.52 .. +15% (selling at a premium) Bear Rate - $214.13 .. +29% If it were in a tax-deferred account as opposed to a taxable account I would have switched it out for LOW who has much better values and financial fundamentals. HD will do fine over the long term though and it will be paying a higher dividend. Analysts Ratings: 67 - 21 - 2 ----------------------------------------- MS is another value play. Financials are supposed to perform better than most in a higher interest rate environment so as more interest rate announcements come, I'm thinking companies like MS will benefit, thus I'm building the position now. Intrinsic Value: Bull Rate - $234.19 .. <63%> Base Rate - $169.98 .. <49%> Bear Rate - $102.03 .. <15%> Another company selling at a discount to its intrinsic value even in a bear scenario. Analysts Ratings: 45 - 26 -0

To: chowder who wrote (898)	4/29/2022 9:14:23 PM
From: chowder	4 Recommendations Recommended By Menominee MinionMom&MarineWife red cardinal Waitress Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 21731

Re: OLD FOLK PORTFOLIO ... Updated 4/29/22 Portfolio Balance: $6,239,998 Forward 12 months income: $270,581 Portfolio yield: 4.34% Dividend Growth 5 Years: 3.9% Holdings: 109 Beta: 0.54 INCOME GROWTH 2017 - $91,556.12 2018 - $132,548.54 .. +44.7% 2019 - $174,588.90 .. +31.7% 2020 - $213,374.56 .. +22.2% 2021 - $257,279.04 .. +20.5% HOLDINGS: ($65,000 equals a Full Position) - Percentages below do not include CEF's or ETF's. ---------------------------------------------- UTILITIES -- 28% of portfolio value SO ...... $165,459 .. XEL .... $164,762 SRE ... $157,487 DUK ... $152,884 NEE ... $141,330 WEC .. $130,765 AEP ... $89,992 BIPC .. $78,225 AWK .. $70,260 LNT ... $69,749 AQN .. $56,080 CNP .. $38,507 D ....... $37,391 BEP .. $27,139 CONSUMER STAPLES -- 19% of portfolio value PG ....... $166,029 KMB .... $139,797 PEP ..... $137,752 KO ....... $137,738 MO ...... $121,587 GIS ...... $85,756 UL ........ $72,119 SJM ..... $39,710 BTI ...... $24,274 MDLZ .. $20,505 FINANCIALS -- 12% of portfolio value TD ........ $128,579 BMO ..... $103,389 PRU ..... $82,359 RY ....... $58,294 CM ....... $56,712 ORI ...... $27,138 MS ....... $22,001 ORCC .. $19,175 BX ....... $17,470 ARES .. $16,952 OCSL .. $16,404 ARCC .. $16,094 HTGC .. $15,708 HEALTHCARE -- 11% of portfolio value ABBV .... $156,574 JNJ ....... $150,869 AMGN .. $91,877 ABT ...... $71,505 ANTM ... $32,625 CVS ...... $29,608 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY -- 9% of portfolio value GPC .... $117,124 HD ....... $107,844 TGT ..... $100.377 LEG ..... $44,181 TJX ...... $29,414 DHI ...... $26,027 NKE .... $21,573 TSCO .. $9,267 REAL ESTATE -- 9% of portfolio value O .......... $156,972 WPC .... $108,797 CCI ...... $53,340 VICI ..... $47,815 ADC .... $44,488 NTST .. $42,462 INDUSTRIALS -- 4% of portfolio value LMT .... $107,598 GD ...... $34,297 PH ...... $26,270 FDX .... $9,738 CMI ..... $9,649 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY -- 4% of portfolio value AVGO ... $57,102 MSFT ... $47,456 TXN ..... $29,283 MA ....... $29,070 AMAT .. $20,084 COMMUNICATIONS -- 4% of portfolio value VZ ... $96,026 TU ... $58,398 T ...... $24,254 ENERGY -- 1% of portfolio value ENB ... $56,819 MATERIALS -- < 1% of portfolio value APD ... $22,237 ---------------------------------------- Closed End Funds (CEF's) and Exchange Traded Funds (ETF's) UTG ...... $155,237 AIO ....... $56,282 PTY ...... $51,009 DNP ..... $50,623 XYLD ... $46,936 RYLD ... $46,209 BMEZ ... $45,710 RFI ....... $44,110 ETO ..... $43,549 BST ..... $42,157 ASG ..... $40,879 BME ..... $37,602 BSTZ ... $36,871 SPE ..... $36,580 EVT ..... $34,150 EIM ...... $33,367 TYG ..... $32,160 ARDC .. $31,274 EXD ..... $30,857 BDJ ..... $29,975 QYLD .. $29,818 BUI ..... $29,501 EVN .... $26,911 AFB .... $26,702 KTF .... $26,631 CII ...... $25,084 IDE ..... $24,289 NIE ..... $19,473 IGD .... $19,326 JEPI .. $19,097 BGY .. $17,819 IGA .... $17,007 ETW .. $16,761 ETV ... $10,454 ETY ... $10,318 EOI .... $9,900 EOS ... $8,774 ------------------------------- TOP INCOME SOURCES - % of portfolio income UTG .... 3.9% MO ...... 2.9% O ......... 2.5% SO ...... 2.3% RYLD .. 2.3% ABBV .. 2.2% WPC ... 2.1% DUK ... 2.0% VZ ...... 2.0% AIO .... 2.0% --------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS SINCE LAST UPDATE: PH increased the dividend 29% AWK increased the dividend 8.7% JNJ increased the dividend 6.3% PG increased the dividend 5.0% ADC increased the dividend 3.1% SO increased the dividend 3.0%