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To: sm1th who wrote (761864)4/23/2022 2:27:22 PM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 793725
 
How can Russia enter the modern world? Only if it fragments into separate states.


Taleb is right - he does not belong to the “realist” school of geopolitical thought…. He is very theoretical, and imo, abstract. He’s been visiting and spending time with Zelensky. That’s his business, of course. Maybe it’s just me, but I can’t find much it the text to be of real help.



To: sm1th who wrote (761864)4/23/2022 5:57:15 PM
From: carranza21 Recommendation

Recommended By
skinowski

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793725
 
I have followed and admired Taleb for years. This time, he is uncharacteriscally wrong.

Yes, the East is Westphalian and the West is multicephalous, though the huge US influence in the West makes me wonder how multi this cephalus really is. Nonetheless, the point is that these two systems are clashing in Ukraine, and the consequences of the clash, and the nature of it, have to be taken very seriously.

Nothing he says diminishes the dangers we face thanks to the idiotic approach to Ukraine orchestrated by dummies like Unland and Vindemann. I'm not 100% sure he accepts them.

Plus, Taleb has predicted nothing accurately about Ukraine. He is no expert in that arena like Mearsheimer is, having studied the area and its history for decades. Mearsheimer had it right from the git go. What has Taleb done to suggest that he is better versed?



To: sm1th who wrote (761864)4/23/2022 5:57:35 PM
From: greenspirit  Respond to of 793725
 
Taleb is a great thinker, thoroughly enjoyed Black Swan and anti fragility. Anti-fragililty is one of the best books I’ve read in years.

I had no idea he posted about the war, thanks for the link.