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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: POKERSAM who wrote (13871)5/27/2022 12:30:56 PM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 26395
 
Thanks for the update.
We are working our way down to end Cycle wave A, then we will get a good bounce in B before dropping again in C of Super Cycle (II) that has a target near 2200

Like I have shown penetrating the H&S necklines I draw will cause those patterns to fail, what level would the market have to rise to invalidate your current bear target of 2200, the COVID-19 low?




To: POKERSAM who wrote (13871)7/12/2022 7:44:31 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26395
 
Back to triple bear mode on a closing basis.

SPX down 20.4% from the peak and only the non-representative Dow has avoided the bear... so far.




To: POKERSAM who wrote (13871)7/27/2022 3:44:39 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26395
 
Any outlook change with today's rally?

I think you said in the past 4100 was key, but I may remember incorrectly.
Yes, one could argue that. You make a strong case and it is the majority opinion of those that I take seriously.
That, however, is not my view. IMO we have just completed another in a series of 1,2s and will continue downward to eventually complete the Cycle A of an ABC that has an ultimate target near 2200.

Currently the SPX looks like a break-out and is now back to my dashed-green resistance-turn-to-support line.

My guess is SPX fills the ~4100ish gap, tests this break of the new support line from above then goes higher unless the economy goes into the toilet.