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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (62770)6/15/2022 12:51:27 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97539
 
Every where I read, everyone is expecting a post Fed rally so I'm starting to wonder.
Also, we've been building a H&S formation all day so far. If we get another upswing, I'm probably going to increase my hedges and get more flat. I'm biased pretty long right now and I'm getting uncomfortable.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (62770)6/15/2022 1:03:40 PM
From: Sun Tzu2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Lee Lichterman III
skier31

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97539
 
I am going to share with you my short term daily, and longer term weekly risk readings.
The charts don't matter, so I am only going to share their indicators:

Daily - short term is highly oversold and ready to jump



.


Weekly is very bearish and if that stochastic crosses lower, welcome to SPX 3400.



Both charts are in downtrend and below their lower BB.

What you have going for being long is that at such oversold levels, a rally that forces short covering can be brutal and this might play out on the short term chart.

But my sense is that too many people got burnt buying the dip and that memory from a few days ago is still fresh in their minds. So they are just hoping for a bounce to sell into, and that mindset limits any upside potential.

We'll find out after I return from lunch ;)



To: ajtj99 who wrote (62770)6/15/2022 3:34:58 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ajtj99

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97539
 
I have to agree with you.

My guess is that NQ 11800 is likely, and 11900 is the "HOP".

Bill Dudley is on BBG.