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Strategies & Market Trends : The Art of Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Real Man who wrote (5277)8/25/2022 9:27:02 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Respond to of 10695
 
Done right, there is little difference between TA, Macro, and FA. The only difference is how often you get your data points and how will you filter out the noise. Piper Sandler's chief investment strategist, who is extremely macro/FA oriented, showed this a few days ago by plotting leading economic indicators and % of stocks above 200 DMA. The two curves were nearly identical.

And it is rare to find a successful strategist that is purely FA or purely TA. You never analyze in vacuum. And for me, everything connects with everything. I try to build the whole picture by cross validating various components to see if they confirm each other. Most of the times they do. Opportunities happen when they don't.

Right now bonds and commodities say we're going down, but the equities are fighting it. The amount of bearishness in equities is really amazing. So I'd say that the immediate risk/rewards favor going into tomorrow long and reversing sharply if the market tanks. I think this is what happened yesterday. People did this same type of analysis and decided to buy.

And this is the 3rd type of trading. It is neither TA nor FA or macro. None of these will materially change between 10AM and 11AM tomorrow. Nonetheless some people will make and others will lose a fortune during that hour.