SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kirk © who wrote (14546)9/30/2022 2:10:06 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26408
 
Have you been watching the videos I put on my thread?
Two recent ones from Druckenmiller and Raoul are relevant to this - as is Dalio's long debt framework (how the economic machine works).
All of them point to the same inevitable outcome - currency debasement.



To: Kirk © who wrote (14546)9/30/2022 5:37:36 PM
From: John Koligman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26408
 
Since you mentioned CA real estate you might get a kick out of this article that ran in the NY Times today:
I can't get the data to format well, but will leave it in and provide the link for an easier read.


nytimes.com

CALCULATOR

Does Your House Earn $266 a Day?
A day-by-day look at the long-term increases in single-family-home prices.

By Michael Kolomatsky

Sept. 29, 2022

Rising home values have long been a dependable way to generate equity, and recent price increases have been stunning: In the second quarter of 2022, the median price of a new home in the United States — $414,000 — was 14 percent higher than it was a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors.

But that’s just icing on the cake for people who have owned their homes for 10 years or more, according to a new study by Point2, which tracked median single-family-home prices from 2011 through 2021 in the 187 largest U.S. metropolitan areas. Over that time period, the national median price of a single-family home more than doubled, from $166,200 to $353,600. The median more than tripled in nine of the metros, and more than quadrupled in two of them — Detroit, where it grew from $53,800 in 2011 to $245,700 in 2021; and Boise, Idaho, where it grew from $115,400 to $468,600.

At the bottom of the list was Peoria, Ill., where the median price rose about 9 percent from 2011 through 2021, inching up from $119,800 to $130,500.

Doubling, tripling and quadrupling values can be hard to wrap one’s head around. But the study found an evocative way to describe long-term price growth: by breaking it down day by day. Imagine finding $266 stacked up on the coffee table every single day from 2011 through 2021. That’s one way to envision price appreciation in San Jose, Calif., which had the greatest gain of all metros when measured in actual dollars. During that time, the median price there rose from $570,000 to $1.64 million — bringing that cash on the coffee table to a total of $1.07 million.

This week’s chart, based on Point2’s report, shows net daily gains in median home prices in the 20 U.S. metropolitan areas where they were highest.

Growing EquityNet daily increases of median single-family home prices from 2011 through 2021 in the 20 U.S. metros where they were the greatest.

NET

DAILY

INCREASE

2021

PRICE

2011

PRICE

STATE

$570,000

$483,400

$512,500

$306,950

$175,000

$370,300

$353,100

$285,000

$597,000

$231,400

$158,000

$115,400

$172,300

$166,100

$219,500

$182,200

$311,500

$115,500

$181,100

$193,100

$1,640,000

$1,320,000

$1,099,000

$801,300

$645,000

$830,000

$782,700

$698,600

$996,200

$607,100

$531,800

$468,600

$510,000

$500,000

$536,400

$486,100

$617,800

$415,400

$480,000

$488,600

San Jose, Calif.

San Francisco

Anaheim, Calif.

Los Angeles

Naples, Fla.

San Diego

Boulder, Colo.

Seattle

Honolulu

Denver

Reno, Nev.

Boise, Idaho

Riverside, Calif.

Sacramento

Portland, Ore.

Salt Lake City

Barnstable, Mass.

Phoenix

Miami

Austin, Texas

$266

$208

$146

$123

$117

$114

$107

$103

$99

$94

$93

$88

$84

$83

$79

$76

$76

$75

$74

$74

Source: Point2

By The New York Times

For weekly email updates on residential real estate news, sign up here.

A version of this article appears in print on Oct. 2, 2022, Section RE, Page 2 of the New York edition with the headline: How a House Earns $266 a Day. Order Reprints | Today’s Paper | Subscribe

The State of Real EstateWhether you’re renting, buying or selling, here’s a look at real estate trends.Rising mortgage rates. Faltering home sales. Skyrocketing rents. Here’s how to make sense of a baffling real estate market.

For a long time, the housing shortage in America was mostly a coastal crisis. This map shows that is no longer the case.

Urban planners say that new high-rise, low-density towers are squandering precious space in Manhattan’s high-density neighborhoods, where more units could be built.

The economics of the housing market have squeezed out “starter homes.” Their disappearance is central to the American housing crisis.

To solve the deep, decades-old housing shortage in the United States, homebuilders need to keep building houses — even when no one is buying.

Calculator