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Strategies & Market Trends : Trader J's Inner Circle -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Madharry who wrote (55270)10/7/2022 11:44:23 AM
From: Zen Dollar Round  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 56535
 
> this brings back a painful memory , when my son was about 3 we lost him for about 45 minutes in Mall of America. that was about 25 of the most terrifying minutes of my life.

I am sorry for that, that kind of visceral fear is something I've never known, nor would I wish it on anyone. It is not who I am. I'm thankful your son was not lost to you, and I can only imagine how you and your partner must have felt in those moments.

I saw an amazing film last night, Moonage Daydream, about the life of David Bowie. At one point later in life, Bowie realized he had to be very careful about what he created, as he was concerned about how his creations might be interpreted by those not capable of coping with them, due to mental illnesses or other issues. That is a profound thought, but as intelligent as he clearly was, he did not ponder it until he was middle-aged.

While I didn't create that drone fly through, I did post the video of it to you with no knowledge of that memory you have of your son and a bad experience with him. So I do have a twinge of guilt about it after you related your story.

> Perhaps I am delusional listening to everyone talk about the fed and the need for rate hikes to quell inflation, but I feel like the fed is pushing on a door that says pull. as i said before this inflation stemmed from shortages and easy money which drove people out of the labor pool which created more shortages.

You aren't delusional, and I don't disagree with those statements nor and in the paragraph that followed. I believe you're spot on. These factors are so complex as they interact with one another and we attempt to interpret them and how the Fed responds, I'd say the same thing about the Fed too. The most powerful too they have is hiking interest rates to stop inflation, but it's not a good one for reasons you've stated and many others besides.

I read last night in this post that inflation in Argentina is expected to peak around 95% this year. That is astonishingly bad and far worse than we have in the U.S. I feel only gratitude not to live down there myself. We live in a country were ~8% annual inflation is considered very high and needs to be tamed because of the economic problems it causes. Well, the Fed's reaction to the inflation rates here cause the same thing, economic problems.

It could be that midterm election results keep the Fed from raising rates anymore or that whatever the results are we're seeing the worst of the damage to our economy occur right now. That would be great if true, because it would mean the turnaround in the stock market begins within a month. I just don't believe that will happen.