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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (74470)12/7/2022 9:38:40 AM
From: The Ox2 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
Lee Lichterman III

  Respond to of 97611
 
I think that's what we're seeing in the stock markets, trying to price in a deeper, longer recession. No goldilocks soft landing, only pain and punishment by the FED ahead.

I'm not so sure I buy into this view. I do think the FED will go too far but one of the beauties of this world is that we don't have to be locked into US stocks. We have the entire globe to use in our trading "schemes".



To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (74470)12/7/2022 10:05:23 AM
From: Sun Tzu4 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
Lee Lichterman III
The Ox
towerdog

  Respond to of 97611
 
The real complication in the market is that not only different people disagree on the facts (e.g. what next quarter's earnings or GDB numbers will be), but that even when they agree on the facts they come to different conclusions on what to do about them.

When I started out investing, I was very much a macro and fundamentals guy. That foundation has been of value. But I realized that I should put more weight on the technicals than on the fundamentals. This doesn't mean that I ignore the fundamentals or the macro picture, but as I see it, if investing was artistic painting, then macro is the canvas and the medium, fundamentals are the picture, and TA is the brush strokes and the style. All 3 are important, but I like to stay closer to the brush strokes ;)