SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robert b furman who wrote (15008)12/27/2022 12:27:29 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation

Recommended By
robert b furman

  Respond to of 27117
 
I think TSM reports on the 6th. If so, when they report, they will set the stage for SOX.

BTW, yes 3x funds should not be held for extended periods. Specifically, they are *very* sensitive to your entry point and counter moves. So you need to manage those carefully. But 2x funds are more forgiving and could be held for weeks or even months, provided you get the trend right and there is at least a moderate trend to help you.



To: robert b furman who wrote (15008)12/27/2022 1:37:08 PM
From: Return to Sender1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Kirk ©

  Respond to of 27117
 
I don't think we get a big bounce in the SOX and related stocks until we are well into January in my opinion Bob.

I believe we will see the RSI on the SOX reach down towards 30 again. In addition those stochastics are well above the level seen in October. My point is oversold bounces in a bear market need to be really oversold and supported by actual earnings reports.



When do we get those earning reports? Not until well into January. If you have Firefox for your browser this chart SMH will update:



JMHO, RtS



To: robert b furman who wrote (15008)12/27/2022 2:50:16 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27117
 
Good luck. I'm not much of a fan of paying a fund a tiny fee to buy mutual funds for me in an ETF... and I'm much less of a fan of leveraged ETFs that usually have higher fees and time penalties.

Have you ever seen Warren Buffett recommend a leveraged fund? The only people I see recommend these are usually those who don't post a performance record but might try to charge fees or collect from "market timing" advice... buyer beware!

PS Let me know how it works out for you. I hope for success as that would mean I get to take profits again... but if you have failure, I'll get to buy back some of the shares I already took profits in but they did not fall enough to buy back, so far.