To: Gerald L. Kerr who wrote (11217 ) 2/13/1998 3:59:00 AM From: Mike Winn Respond to of 31646
MIKE WINN'S FAVORITE YEAR 2000 LINKS cnet.com Hype vs Reality Some of the stories about the millennium bug would have you believe that it will cause airplanes to fall from the sky, ATMs to shut down and Social Security checks to bounce. But while the Y2K bug is real and the risks of inaction are considerable, people who are actually working on the problem say that the myths and exaggerations about Y2K have overshadowed the reality. Despite--or, perhaps, because of--all the hysteria, most large institutions are aware of the problem, and they're working on it. In nearly every case, they expect the bug to have little or no effect on core function. Millennium superstition Unlike many computer bugs, this one is easy to explain and even easier to dramatize. The 8 myths about the millennium bug Myth #1: Critical systems will fail, sparking a technological apocalypse cnet.com Myth #2: The total cost of repairs could be more than $600 billion cnet.com Consultant de Jager, the Gartner Group, and most other commentators admit that these are just estimates--nobody has substantiated these calculations... Nicholas Zvegintzov has been a software consultant for more than 20 years and has consulted on the Y2K problem. He's made some enemies within the field by calling into question the alarmists' figures and methodology, suggesting that the problem is being blown away out of proportion.softwaremanagement.com Sally Katzen, the director of the Office of Management and Budget for the President has lower numbers...news.com IS Chief called Year 2000 a fraud...www2.computerworld.com Myth #3: You will have to buy a new personal computer cnet.com Myth #4: Your personal computer's software won't work cnet.com Myth #5: The myth of failure in embedded systems cnet.com Y2K consultant Peter de Jager has posted dozens of alarming articles on the millennium bug as it relates to mainframes. In contrast, only one recent posting mentions embedded systems--and the author flat-out states that "most embedded systems won't fail" and that "very few firms will jeopardize their future by ignoring this issue." In fact, there is no concrete evidence that any embedded system will fail. Sources at major California power supplier Pacific Gas & Electric say there will be no large-scale power failures as a result of the millennium bug. Myth #6: No one has seen anything like this before Fact is the millennium fix is no different from the fix for application software when new area codes are allocated as phone numbers are filled. The world would have ended 8 years ago if the fix would have been so complex. The millennium fix is an exercise for the software novice...cnet.com Myth #7: Somebody will come up with a quick fix cnet.com Fact is there is no silver bullet. Programmers still have to get their hands dirty to fix it. Myth #8: There is no Year 2000 problem cnet.com Fact is Year 2000 problems do exist...