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Strategies & Market Trends : Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: humble1 who wrote (38803)4/12/2023 11:17:26 AM
From: humble12 Recommendations

Recommended By
towerdog
Tweets Boar Hog

  Respond to of 41014
 
Today’s high could have been the end of the 5th wave up of five waves up from the mid-march low. The reversal (as I type this) after the stop-running pop, is a look-out-below warning IF it holds.

See SPX chart in the back link.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)4/12/2023 6:25:05 PM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
Outside days down - a/k/a Bearish Engulfing Candles - on the two important charts at the back link. These appeared on a day when a very important inflation report came in better than expected and spiked the markets higher in a fakeout breakout in the early going.

On the SPX we see the RSI curling lower and the MACD looking like it is heading for a down crosser. The next couple of days will be especially important.

One of the scenarios I am watching is this rather complex one:

4/11/23->6/26/23=76
76xPi=238
238+76=314

8/16/22->6/24/23=314

6/26/23 is the big Spiral Calendar Nexus going back decades.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)4/13/2023 12:49:23 PM
From: humble1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
Gettin’ the IRA money in … :)—-



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)4/17/2023 6:09:19 PM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
Solid closes on my two faves. Gapper uppers tomorrow would be most welcomed.

See back link.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)4/20/2023 5:18:28 PM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
Could be a Morning Star on this Solar Eclipse.

See back link.

Looking for confirmation tomorrow.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)5/2/2023 6:45:33 PM
From: humble1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
Today’s action (see back link) looks like a washout before runs into previously posted dates of 5/23 and 6/2. Thinking highs on those two. 6/26 could also be out there.

But: big trouble coming soon after, IMHO. More later as market action informs.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)5/11/2023 4:33:24 AM
From: humble12 Recommendations

Recommended By
Lou Weed
The Ox

  Respond to of 41014
 
Bullish Engulfing Candle on the SPX:

See back link.

Impressive Hammer, too.

6/2/33 blinks brightest on my radar with 5/23 and 6/26 still in the game. Any of these could be buying panic highs, IMHO. The debt ceiling hype is a farce. Flation is easing worldwide. China the latest example. Bank meltdown fears seem to have peaked,

Huge piles of cash on the sidelines. Earnings were good. Companies have trimmed payrolls and used flation (sic) to their advantage. Folks are coming back into the workforce and shortages of goods are disappearing. Food prices have stabilized.

Now look at the MACD and the RSI. Both say higher.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)5/15/2023 3:51:46 AM
From: humble12 Recommendations

Recommended By
Clam digger
Lou Weed

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
The bull case needs a gapper upper and a solid up day with a close clearly above last week’s high. It would seal in those five candles and the weekly candle into a lift-off floor. Besides, I like the idea of 21 calendar days from 5/12 to 6/2 as a spike into a 6/2 tradable high. Wells Fargo was on the wires late last week saying that the market was “about to roll over.” They have a lot of company with the high profile flapjaws. A perfect time to embarrass that crew once again.

See the v SPX chart at the back link.

There is plenty of fundamental news which could support a big quick run north. Dictator Putin looks ready to collapse, flation is flattening out, and there is no chance (imho) of the hyped default. And there is flash of $$$ in MM funds ready to burst the dam. Earnings are good. Companies are buying back stock. There is little new supply from the IPO sector.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)5/17/2023 7:04:27 PM
From: humble12 Recommendations

Recommended By
Clam digger
towerdog

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
Today’s broad based rally could be Day1 of a 13 (global: includes Memorial Day here) trading day panic-buying rally into 6/2.

See back link.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)5/19/2023 7:20:28 AM
From: humble1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
Can we do Three White Solders on the SPX?

See back link

These would come after a long sideways chop with Bolly Bands pinching and now the MACD and RSI confirming. A powerfully bullish setup.

Three White Soldiers: investopedia.com.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/2/2023 1:37:26 AM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
See charts in back link.

And this root/2 = 1.414, which may be my fave:

6/2/23<-2/2/23<-8/16/22=170<-120=1.414

Also note the serious breadth divergence v. the RUT 2000. Could be a big drop on the way. Now that the debt ceiling is raised, we need almost $1 trillion in treasuries sold in the next four months.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/14/2023 8:46:00 PM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
Large Spinning Top on the SPX and Bearish Engulfing on the R2K:

See back link.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/14/2023 8:50:30 PM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
Spinning Top - a large one - on the SPX and a Bearish Engulfer on the R2K:

See back link



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/15/2023 10:50:02 AM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 

Look at the RUT at the back link:

MACD now curling down. RSI turning lower. Yesterday’s Bearish Engulfing Candle totally in charge.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/15/2023 11:53:38 AM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
And there’s your C=A equality using +350 off of the March low. Link.

Sorry about the SC 351. I was watching the March low.

SHORTEDSPY here near SPX 4400!

An exciting day if you like this calling. This is how panic highs are made.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/16/2023 5:16:00 AM
From: humble11 Recommendation

Recommended By
Tweets Boar Hog

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
Today, 6/16/23, we bang into the Apex of the Fibonacci Triangle which has defined the Parabolic Bear Market Rally from 10/13/22.

See back link.

10/13/22 + 152 = 3/14/23 + 94 = 6/16/23

152/94 = 1.618

Today, 6/16/23, quarterly options expiration day. The week of the most important FOMC meetings in many years.

6/16/23, a day which could define market history.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/16/2023 4:20:16 PM
From: humble1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
Dark Cloud Cover

See #6 at the link and the SPX chart at the back link. Not midway but close enough. Especially considering the RUT.

tradingsim.com

I gotta bad feeling about this long weekend.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)6/20/2023 5:25:14 PM
From: humble1  Respond to of 41014
 
The Gapper Downer held; a needed follow through to Friday’s reversal candle. It also printed a Hammer. Which is not very predictive either way in this position. However the possible confirmation of Friday’s high as an important pivot could use another red day tomorrow.

See back link.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)7/12/2023 10:38:15 AM
From: humble1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41014
 
EUPHORIA DAY: 7/13/23 :)—-

Back link.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)8/24/2023 4:10:10 PM
From: humble14 Recommendations

Recommended By
SE
stuffbug
The Ox
towerdog

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41014
 
Huge Bearish Engulfing Candle on the SPX. After kissing the underbelly of the rolling over 50 Day SMA.

Message 34252966

Lookie back at 9/12/22.



To: humble1 who wrote (38803)11/29/2024 8:56:27 PM
From: humble13 Recommendations

Recommended By
rdkflorida2
Sonali
towerdog

  Respond to of 41014
 
Since 11/30 is an H1 Date, Monday is especially important to my system. I could, maybe should, have sold some of my longs today but I did not. I hope that I do not regret that decision. My criteria were met for a trade. But I believe the markets are heading for a more important sell date. Maybe 12/27.

Anyway. New closing high on the SPX and the R2K finished a strong week. Bullish talk everywhere. All the big houses are piling in. Valuation worries are dismissed.’This is what an Ending Spike looks like. I am trying to be out before it’s over.

Message 34252966

And then there is the Mars op Pluto on 1/3:

What is the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus Rally, as the term is commonly used, usually refers to the time between Christmas and New Year's Day. However, historical research says that the most profitable range of days is the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January.