To: Vic A who wrote (775 ) 2/14/1998 12:11:00 AM From: D.J.Smyth Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4903
Vic, tony; respect your insightful thoughts, but both your comments remind me of the IBM's CEO's comment in the 1950s regarding his perception of why Xerox would ultimately fail. The fact is, no one really knows which internet commerce site will ultimately succeed and which will fail. I've read nothing yet which would convince me that Onsale won't succeed, and extremely so. Onsale is an auction; hey. More predominately, it's the internet - car auctions where time travel and restrictions relative to space/location can impede your ability to properly bid is not really comparable. If onsale succeeds (as it has thus far) it succeeds because it gives 100% of the people 100% access to the same product 100% of the time - there are no limits relative to space, time, club, etc - just the internet. It's a retailer. No kidding. It has some inventory, but products are sold from many sites, not just Onsale's warehouse site. Onsale sells, as well, products, per se, on "consignment" earning a commission on the sale as it were. They do envision, by the way, using both auction and non-auction formats in the future. They'll probably do whatever works to create the most revenue. Not comparable to Yahoo because Yahoo is a brand name? C'mon. We both went to business graduate school and you really don't believe this do you? You mean to say that the name "Onsale" can't become a "brand name" too? The CEO's comments of "getting big fast" was intended to imply making the name "Onsale" synonomous with internet retailing as they expand into other areas of merchandising, moving beyond computers and sporting goods to cars, airline travel, time share vacations, etc. Anyone can purchase goods over the internet from anywhere. The philosophy is sound. At some point Yahoo's advertising "real estate" space becomes limited, thus revenue becomes limited. But does a company like Onsale have limits as to how far they can expand relative to the type of goods sold as well as the method of sale (auction vs. non-auction)? I don't care whether you shorted the stock or bought long. We have no position yet, but I do believe this company has the necessary elements for success. And here I go again, after telling myself it serves no purpose to ramble on the internet like this. The funds will decide whether Onsale's stock price rises or falls, and the amount of internet chatter becomes pointless.