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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: berniel who wrote (16527)8/15/2023 4:59:33 PM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
berniel

  Respond to of 26766
 
Nice chart. Of course I like it because it agrees with what I said about demand outstripping supply.

I think we'll be LUCKY to have have crude oil hold low $80s...

Here is stupidfornia, they've indexed the gasoline taxes to inflation so I doubt we'll ever see gas sell under $4 again even if Trump wins and drill-baby-drills everywhere he's allowed.

You sure wish people understood BASIC economics rather than break their arms patting themselves on the back (or their policies) for only half the story.

EIA forecasts crude oil prices will increase through 2024 as demand rises above supply




Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook, July 2023


Note: WTI=West Texas Intermediate

We forecast higher crude oil prices in the second half of 2023 and into 2024 in our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) because of moderate but persistent inventory drawdowns. Inventory drawdowns take place when demand for a commodity is greater than the supply of that commodity. We expect production cuts from OPEC members and forecast higher petroleum consumption will lead to an average inventory drawdown of 0.4 million barrels per day (b/d) between July 2023 and the end of 2024.

The forecast Brent crude oil price will increase to the mid-$80 per barrel range by the end of 2024, up from the June 2023 average of $75 per barrel. We forecast the West Texas Intermediate crude oil price will follow a similar path and maintain a discount to Brent of $5 per barrel.