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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Senior who wrote (73889)10/5/2023 5:07:12 PM
From: Elroy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78715
 
To me, when people post about a stock here, an implied question that I do have is, "How long are you planning to be in the stock"?

For me the problem with timelines on how long you want to hold is .... they are impossible to create, because......things change.

Today maybe I think in 18 months this stock will go up 50% for various reasons. I have a view like this on SIMO now.

But....the next day there may be new information (good and bad) which changes that story. In the next 6-9 months there is almost definitely new information that changes what the story was 6-9 months ago.
If you get it EXACTLY correct in your timeline and your milestons and the stock appreciates as you expected, OK, maybe your original investment timeframe works. How often do we get it exactly right?

So I say you buy a stock today expecting it to go up in the future, and as time passes and the stock and industry and market story changes, so does your timeline.

But we all want the stock to go up from the moment we buy it. None of us invests today because we want the stock to be up 50% in two years, and we don't care what happens to the share price in the interim period. Of course we care.