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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (201948)10/10/2023 9:37:46 AM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 220293
 
I can’t imagine that anyone, except Hamas, has a clue. Israel, of course, has to assume that the supply is endless.

At some point, the calculation has to be made on whether the use of rockets has diminishing returns.

No arsenal lasts forever.

What happens after the rockets are exhausted? The Hamas soldiers cannot credibly fight against the IDF.

The issue IMO is whether Hizbollah throws itself into the fray when Hamas begins to take serious losses, which is inevitable. And what happens if Hizbollah indeed gets into it? Does Israel attack Iran? Can the IDF handle a two-front war? Does the US get involved if it can’t?

Is Hizbollah assuming that Israel’s thirst for revenge will consume so many of its resources that it will be weak in the North? I wouldn’t make that assumption, if I were Hizbollah.

Ukraine has provided a lesson. Bleed an opponent dry, as the Russians have, and a counterattack is that much easier. Hamas is bleeding Israel dry and Hizbollah might be waiting in the wings. If so, Iran will be in crosshairs. If Iran already has nukes, which must be assumed…I don’t even want to think about it.

This might be bad for the Ukrainians. If we start sending weapons to Israel which are earmarked for Ukraine, then obviously the Russians are at an advantage. In American public opinion, Israel is of course superior to Ukraine.

This helps Democrats, who will go all-in for Israel and relegate Ukraine to page 6 just as American public opinion is (finally) beginning to realize what a loser the Ukrainian conflict is for us.

What a problem.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (201948)10/10/2023 8:15:34 PM
From: ggersh  Respond to of 220293
 
Hezbollah would be the holder of such number

Hamas might've shot it's wad by now