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Technology Stocks : Winstar Comm. (WCII) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steven Bowen who wrote (3881)2/20/1998 12:12:00 AM
From: Steven Bowen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12468
 
After 3 rounds, WinStar has the highest bid in the auction, at least in terms of $ per population. They're still just bidding on the area in the NY BTA not covered by the CVUS license. Price so far is only $3.36 per population (not channel pop). To get our value of $2.00 per channel pop, we'll have to see at least $23.00 per pop. May eventually get there, but at the pace they seem to be moving now, it may be a year.



To: Steven Bowen who wrote (3881)2/20/1998 12:39:00 AM
From: MangoBoy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12468
 
<< FWIW, the number we've heard for years is that these licenses
should be worth something around $2 to $2.50 per channel pop.
Put those numbers into your calculator and see where we get. >>

WCII market cap = $1.2B
current channel pop valuation = $1.37
875M channel pops * $2.00/pop = $1.75B (+46%)
875M channel pops * $2.50/pop = $2.19B (+82%)

fwiw:

ARTT market cap = $210M
current channel pop valuation = $0.56
375M channel pops * $2.00/pop = $750M (+357%)
375M channel pops * $2.50/pop = $938M (+446%)

ARTT also has European licenses covering the entire populations
of the U.K., Sweden, Norway, and Denmark. i don't have channel
information at hand, but the total population is 77M.

[c.f. artcorporation.com]

mark