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To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (30591)2/20/1998 1:12:00 PM
From: Lee  Respond to of 176387
 
Paul, Re: Valuation methods

Paul and Reginald

I would like to also thank you for the very interesting discussion regarding valuation. I think it benefits us to learn the various methods available for attaching a value to a growth company. At least a "simplified" working model, with assumptions stated, would be especially helpful. A difficult task (for me) is to decide when a stock has reached it's so called "full value". I for one would be very interested if this discussion continued on the thread. I think you might have to also include a driller, where perceived value has decreased contrary to supply/demand considerations. If not for any other reason but for comparative purposes.

Thanks again for the discussion.

Lee




To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (30591)2/20/1998 3:10:00 PM
From: BUYandHOLD  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Paul
Your experience and insight is invaluable. On this quote though;
<I once heard him quoted as saying "Buy a good company and go to sleep for twenty years." Unfortunately, this approach could very easily kill an investor in the world of high-tech companies>

I would like to cut the "Oracle" some slack. Since he doesn't buy Tech, he probably meant KO,G and the like, besides he may have imbibed too much cherry Coke that day <g>. Seriously though, I think if one picked tech leaders, say one or two from the four major SI groups, you could "sleep" for 3-5 yrs. As long as you woke up once or twice a year to stretch, check to see if DOJ nailed Bill, DELL has passed CPQ, or simply to catch the breeze on SI.
What I am saying is that I expect MSFT/CA, CPQ/DELL,CSCO,INTC to still be Kings in their "hoods" in 3-5yrs, enough time to check out new pretenders to the throne.
Hence the "good company and go to sleep" may work in Tech too if appropriately modified.
Can you imagine not buying or selling a single stock in 3 yrs and still make 20-50%? At least that is what the numbers say!

Good investing!

Charles.