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To: Vattila who wrote (63527)	2/4/2025 6:11:54 PM
From: neolib	Respond to of 72136

Thanks as always for running the comp!

To: Vattila who wrote (63527)	2/4/2025 6:18:22 PM
From: Pravin Kamdar	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 72136

Thanks once again for running a clean contest. If I can extricate myself from this, will move on. Hope AMD does great things. No longer a stock for me. Enjoy.

To: Vattila who wrote (63527)

5/6/2025 8:52:32 PM

From: Vattila

Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 72136

AMD 2025-Q1 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results

Contest Results:		$0.96	$7.44B	$7.40B ± 0.30B
Rank	User	EPS	Revenue	Outlook
1	Joe NYC	$0.96	$7.30	$7.20
2	neolib	$0.95	$7.25	$6.80
3	Kelvin C.P. Wang	$0.95	$7.20	$7.40
-	Bing Copilot	$0.94	$7.12	$7.35
4	Vattila	$0.94	$7.10	$7.00
-	Zacks Estimate	$0.93	$7.12	$7.35
-	Grok	$0.93	$7.12	$7.24
5	rzborusa	$0.93	$7.05	$7.00

Congratulations to Joe on hitting the EPS bullseye — and for the best guess on revenue! Neolib and Kelvin followed closely, with Neolib edging out Kelvin on revenue, despite Kelvin scoring a perfect bullseye on the super outlook. Grok debuted with a modest score, just managing to beat an uncharacteristically pessimistic Rzborusa. Personally, I'm happy to see AMD forecasting stronger results than I feared, and I'm of course quite pleased to have beaten Zacks, even with my poor entry.

On the full-year scoreboard, Kelvin and Joe lead the pack nicely, while the pessimists lag behind Zacks and even the AI entries.

Commiserations to Pravin for missing the contest.

Thanks to all for playing!

---

Scoreboards

Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue.

AMD 2025 EPS Contest Scores

2025 Leaderboard

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Kelvin C.P. Wang	1	0.25	0.16	0.25	0.2192
2	Joe NYC	1	0.25	0.19	0.17	0.2053
-	Bing Copilot	1	0.24	0.14	0.23	0.2035
-	Zacks Estimate	1	0.24	0.14	0.23	0.2020
-	Grok	1	0.24	0.14	0.19	0.1883
3	neolib	1	0.25	0.18	0.10	0.1731
4	Vattila	1	0.24	0.14	0.13	0.1690
5	rzborusa	1	0.24	0.13	0.13	0.1642

AMD 2024 EPS Contest Scores

2024 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.85	0.86	0.8830
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.97	0.82	0.86	0.8810
2	neolib	4	0.98	0.88	0.78	0.8798
-	Bing Copilot	4	0.95	0.80	0.78	0.8447
3	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.97	0.85	0.72	0.8439
4	rzborusa	4	0.94	0.87	0.68	0.8315
5	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.97	0.87	0.55	0.7973
6	Vattila	4	0.94	0.86	0.56	0.7890

2024 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.85	0.86	0.8830
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.97	0.82	0.86	0.8810
2	neolib	4	0.98	0.88	0.78	0.8798
-	Bing Copilot	4	0.95	0.80	0.78	0.8447
3	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.97	0.85	0.72	0.8439
4	rzborusa	4	0.94	0.87	0.68	0.8315
5	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.97	0.87	0.55	0.7973
6	Vattila	4	0.94	0.86	0.56	0.7890
7	TGPTNDR	1	0.89	0.77	0.28	0.6455

AMD 2023 EPS Contest Scores

2023 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.97	0.89	0.66	0.8390
1	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.94	0.88	0.56	0.7938
2	Vattila	4	0.98	0.89	0.46	0.7759
3	neolib	4	0.96	0.80	0.56	0.7735
-	Bing Chat	4	0.94	0.83	0.47	0.7457
4	Joe NYC	4	0.95	0.80	0.46	0.7375
5	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.81	0.41	0.7220
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.95	0.74	0.37	0.6850

AMD 2022 EPS Contest Scores

2022 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.92	0.83	0.62	0.7895
1	Joe NYC	4	0.82	0.72	0.75	0.7618
2	neolib	4	0.90	0.73	0.65	0.7617
3	Vattila	4	0.87	0.84	0.51	0.7390
4	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.81	0.71	0.69	0.7371
5	rzborusa	4	0.81	0.73	0.56	0.7020
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.84	0.75	0.48	0.6925
7	gvatty	2	0.48	0.38	0.30	0.3848
8	fastpathguru	1	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.1038

2022 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.92	0.83	0.62	0.7895
1	gvatty	2	0.95	0.75	0.60	0.7696
2	Joe NYC	4	0.82	0.72	0.75	0.7618
3	neolib	4	0.90	0.73	0.65	0.7617
4	Vattila	4	0.87	0.84	0.51	0.7390
5	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.81	0.71	0.69	0.7371
6	rzborusa	4	0.81	0.73	0.56	0.7020
7	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.84	0.75	0.48	0.6925
8	fastpathguru	1	0.59	0.42	0.24	0.4153

AMD 2021 EPS Contest Scores

2021 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.93	0.86	0.72	0.8397
2	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.88	0.69	0.8367
3	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.78	0.70	0.8105
4	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.93	0.75	0.75	0.8101
5	gvatty	4	0.93	0.81	0.69	0.8068
6	Vattila	4	0.92	0.77	0.71	0.7966
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.83	0.65	0.53	0.6694
7	neolib	3	0.71	0.66	0.61	0.6614
8	engineer	1	0.24	0.18	0.21	0.2111
9	fastpathguru	1	0.23	0.18	0.15	0.1852
10	eetnoyer	1	0.20	0.17	0.10	0.1556

2021 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	neolib	3	0.95	0.88	0.82	0.8819
2	engineer	1	0.96	0.73	0.84	0.8445
3	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.93	0.86	0.72	0.8397
4	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.88	0.69	0.8367
5	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.78	0.70	0.8105
6	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.93	0.75	0.75	0.8101
7	gvatty	4	0.93	0.81	0.69	0.8068
8	Vattila	4	0.92	0.77	0.71	0.7966
9	fastpathguru	1	0.92	0.71	0.59	0.7408
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.83	0.65	0.53	0.6694
10	eetnoyer	1	0.78	0.68	0.40	0.6222

AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores

2020 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Vattila	4	0.95	0.85	0.65	0.8169
2	neolib	4	0.98	0.80	0.61	0.7972
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.94	0.79	0.62	0.7856
3	Pravin Kamdar	3	0.72	0.62	0.50	0.6128
4	rzborusa	3	0.69	0.57	0.47	0.5812
5	Kelvin C.P. Wang	1	0.24	0.23	0.17	0.2150
6	jc474	1	0.23	0.19	0.19	0.2020

2020 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Kelvin C.P. Wang	1	0.96	0.92	0.69	0.8601
2	Pravin Kamdar	3	0.96	0.83	0.66	0.8171
3	Vattila	4	0.95	0.85	0.65	0.8169
4	jc474	1	0.92	0.74	0.76	0.8080
5	neolib	4	0.98	0.80	0.61	0.7972
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.94	0.79	0.62	0.7856
6	rzborusa	3	0.93	0.76	0.63	0.7749