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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Eric who wrote (1519874)	2/6/2025 1:21:28 PM
From: Tenchusatsu	2 Recommendations Recommended By Brumar89 Eric Respond to of 1575760

Eric, Russia's military machine is a joke compared to ours! That's the thing. RuZZia already lost. They lost their reputation as the second strongest military in the world. They lost their international soft power, as their retreat from Syria proved. They lost all their trade deals with Europe and now has to backfill the demand by selling oil on the cheap to China and India. Their military industrial complex is a joke. Countries will now think twice before buying T-72 and T-90 tanks, which have a habit of launching their turrets into orbit. They lost all the exports on building, repairing, and maintaining oil infrastructure. All those refineries that are being hit by Ukrainian drones cannot easily be brought back online without expertise and Western support. They lost their entire stockpile of Soviet-era tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery. Even now their armored assaults are becoming more and more limited, with more and "Mad Max" vehicles being fielded. Most importantly, RuZZia lost their superpower status and has been reduced to being North Korea times ten, which is a really pathetic position to be in. All PooTin can do is threaten to use his nukes, but that's it. RuZZia has nothing left to offer to the world. And even if PooTin gets all of Ukraine, that's it. It'll be the most Pyrrhic "victory" in the history of modern warfare. Tenchusatsu

To: Eric who wrote (1519874)	2/6/2025 5:25:12 PM
From: Tenchusatsu	1 Recommendation Recommended By Eric Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1575760

More tidbits about RuZZia's collapsing economy from a WSJ op-ed: China Watches as Russia’s Economy Teeters (WSJ) Key takeaways: - RuZZia's sovereign wealth fund has declined from $300M at the start of PooTin's three-day war of choice to about $100M today. (This isn't counting the other $300M that was frozen at the start of the war.) The op-ed estimates that RuZZia will fully deplete their wealth fund by this year, but what's more likely to happen is that RuZZia will start printing money while at the same time slowing their fund withdrawal rates. - Inflation is nominally 10%, but most economists think it's higher. Given that interest rates there are currently at 21%, that suggests inflation is actually somewhere in the high teens. And given that PooTin instructed Elvira to stop further interest rate increases (because the rate hikes clearly aren't working), it's likely that inflation will only accelerate this year. - Banks are pressured to give lots of loans to RuZZia's military industrial complex at below market rates. I covered this before. This will lead to a credit crisis that can collapse the RuZZian economy. - RuZZia is having problems selling ruble bonds to creditors. That shouldn't be a surprise, but it does underscore PooTin's inability to fund his war of choice on credit cards. - Oil revenues are not making up for RuZZia's financial problems. Coupled with the fact that oil is hovering around the low $70s, and it's not clear that RuZZia is making all that much money, even with their shadow fleet of rickety oil tankers trying to get around the $60 price cap. - One thing PooTin is doing almost masterfully is spreading the pain around. By combining multiple tools for prolonging the war, PooTin is making sure that no single point of pain causes Mutha RuZZia to double over. But that's like a desperate gambler signing up for credit card after credit card hoping that the next big bet will pay off in spades. - Unfortunately, PooTin still thinks he's winning the war, and that all of the pain he's spreading around is manageable. Meanwhile, Ukraine believes they can win the war just by grinding it out and waiting for the RuZZian economy to collapse. No matter who you believe, the fact that both sides still think they can win will make it hard for Trump to get anyone to the negotiating table. Tenchusatsu