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Politics : The Trump Presidency -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (320160)2/8/2025 5:51:27 PM
From: i-node1 Recommendation

Recommended By
longz

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 355991
 
>> Do you really think Trump will fund them?

Trump doesn't have but a couple billion dollars. He can't fund them. No one can. Musk can't fund them either. (When you them, you mean "us").


I don't see government "funding" more jobs going forward. There should be zero new government hires except for essential talent (as in air traffic control, for a good example).

Anyone hired at this point should understand it may not become career (it likely cannot). The idea of career professionals will become more and more rare.

Life is changing. Government can't hire everyone like used to.



To: Wharf Rat who wrote (320160)2/8/2025 6:14:43 PM
From: i-node1 Recommendation

Recommended By
longz

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 355991
 
>> Do you really think Trump will fund them?

I don't see it moving that quickly.

But consider the following example. In the coming five or six years, any job, the title of which includes the word "drive", is basically apt to disappear or be in the process of disappearing. The only question is whether Tesla can grow fast enough.

(True, some others may develop a competing system, but at the end of the day, they are likely to gravitate toward the Tesla system). And Musk will flood the streets with self-driving vehicles, whether they're tesla or other companies lease the tech from them (which requires 2 years lead time on a given model of vehicle, or an after-market install which is probably going to be awfully challenging).

Any taxicab operation in major city is going to be at significant competitive disadvantage. Uber will die as we know it. Teslas are both safer and less expensive transportation.

Over-the-road trucks cannot move so quickly, but they are going to move. Again, safer and less expensive to operate, with the added advantage of 24/7 driving.


You are probably looking at 25% or more of jobs in the US being threatened by this development.

But then, you have to think about those who will be replaced by early robots -- dock workers (well, the unions already negotiated away automation for the current contract, but will struggle with that next negotiation), store attendants, personal assistants, warehouse/logistics, repetitive tasks, etc.) I did some consulting for a time for a large warehouse operation. They would ditch half their warehouse workers instantly. (I was being shown the new warehouse addition by client one day, and he noticed a steel pole had been hit by a forklift 10 days after it opened. Prime candidates for replacement).

We need to be reducing the size of government on a regular basis or we will meet with crisis as some of these things begin to hit hard.