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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carranza2 who wrote (211374)	2/16/2025 11:26:42 AM
From: carranza2	1 Recommendation Recommended By Pogeu Mahone Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 219715

Credible war games scenarios suggest that China would not succeed in taking over Taiwan, but that the costs to China, the US, and Japan would be enormous. And this assumes nukes would not be used. csis.org For the US, therefore, the question is how to deter a conflict over Taiwan, keeping in mind that Chinese leadership has historically been not exactly reluctant to incur serious losses. Mao’s “so what?” comment when reminded in the 1950’s during the First Taiwan Straights conflict that an American nuclear strike could kill 300 million Chinese comes to mind. To deter, the US must never put attacks on the mainland off the table. Whether this would be credible remains to be seen because China could easily make the same point. So, a game of chicken ensues. Which might actually be a deterrent itself, dependent on each side’s calculations. But Taiwan itself has a huge deterrent: a conventional attack on the Three Gorges Dam, whose breach could create untold damage, perhaps more than even the Chinese traditional lack of aversion to such losses could tolerate. I have not seen much discussion about this option in the pertinent literature, but it seems to be an obvious option for both the US and Taiwan. Such a war is unwinnable. It should never happen. But Chinese history and culture practically demands reunification, particularly as it may ultimately lead to control over vast ares of the Pacific if the results of the conflict are perceived as a Chinese success. And cultural influences matter a lot. The Chinese see themselves as the successors to the Celestial Empire now ruled by a new set of mandarins and a leader who arrogantly sees himself as the rightful successor to the Celestial Emperors. And there is the Century of Shame to avenge, a real (in Chinese eyes) though weak justification for incurring huge domestic losses. We live in very dangerous times. The US must show strength and resolve. Thank Gd we have Trump and not an idiot like Harris as President. If Vance follows Trump (something the Chinese will do everything in their power to prevent) the denouement* might be temporrily avoided but it is unlikely to be avoided forever. Americans at large are clueless about these dangers. But we have been clueless before, much to the ultimate regret of enemies who underestimated us.

To: carranza2 who wrote (211374)	2/16/2025 3:52:01 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 219715

c2, you do realise that the vlog I cited was re swat against swat, right, apples to apples as to thewarzone, wearethemighty, etc etc, all of which am familiar with, they are the same that be surprised by the J20, J35, J36, and J50? Yes, they are, just as folks were completely blindsided by DeepSeek that triggered DeepSelfReflection had there been a vlog about special forces against special forces, am certain the same outcome would result, if not immediately then eventually you know, just as Team China olympic swimmers do not turn purple from effects of medication and still best those that do it is simply the way of trajectory of travels that cannot be helped by sour grapes and same such, cannot be helped, just a numbers game at the core further as we near 2026, then through 2026, towards 2032, inexorably towards inevitable, just mathematics and including mathematics, physics, chemistry, biology, ... apples to apples, and of course, potatoes to potatoes, conveniently tallied, and reasonable to assume that the flowers are only as good as the rest of the plants they are picked from, the second we strip away the propaganda and mythologies, and go feet attached to hands and topped by brains no, I do not and see no need to add 'LOL' to every discussion, but do not mind those who do even as the national team being bested by Kenya, KENYA, yeah, that Kenya, is sort of hilarious, mano a mano speaking of which, overarching and indicative raw and basic numbers ... implication being that gold if not GLD pricing ought to be higher, am supposing, because thewarzone, wearethemighty, etc is not going by the numbers en.wikipedia.org