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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: marcher who wrote (216184)	8/27/2025 4:05:28 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 217712

The teotwawki files: "DEFCON1" LOOKING AT THE NASDAQ SUNDAY, AUGUST 24, 2025 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG COMMENT: This guy who commented that Socrates is wrong will not survive very long as an investor. As they say, fools are easily separated from their money. As you have pointed out numerous times, the Federal Reserve cuts rates during economic recessions, and it has never prevented the markets from continuing lower. For your newcomers, the classic case of "the Fed being behind the curve" was the DOT.COM Bubble. The Nasdaq had peaked in March 2000 and was in a severe decline as the dot-com bubble burst. The Fed, recognizing the slowing economy and market turmoil, began an aggressive rate-cutting cycle on January 3, 2001, between scheduled meetings, which was an "inter-meeting cut" that was a signal of major urgency. They cut the Fed Funds rate from 6.5% to 6.0%. They continued cutting rates multiple times throughout 2001. The S&P 500 continued its bear market. Despite the rate cuts, the index fell approximately 13% in the first three months of 2001 and continued to fall. He needs to learn. You should never judge the next few months on one day's price action. You know the portfolio I was running. I remember the Array you sent us. It showed a high in 2000, also in Europe. I will look around to see if I still have it. Keep up the good work. We do need you. GK REPLY: Yes, there is a learning curve. If you cannot learn from your mistakes, you are doomed. Every loss is worth more than a win because it forces you to examine what you did. I have learned to be a trader not because I was always right, but because I had to experience a loss to grasp how markets actually function. I mentioned at the conference that I bought the high in 1966, and it was that loss that introduced me to the boom-bust cycle. When someone loses money and then blames someone else, they are sealing their own fate. You should have been watching everyone around you as in a car race. The surefire way to miss a change in trend is to focus just on a single market. Yes, we have Powell who is ready to cut the rate after hearing what I heard from my sources that Trump is ruling out sending troops into Ukraine. If that is maintained, then he can cut rates with less risk of inflation. Yet, rates are NOT the only thing we have to focus on in September. The peace deal is more likely than not going to fail by mid-September. If Trump goes crazy and imposes all sorts of sanctions on Russia, he might as well go to DEFCON ONE and prepare for WWIII. Look at the NASDAQ. The market did not make new highs, and it peaked with the Array, which has a slightly different pattern. We have rising volatility and a Panic Cycle in 4 weeks. I do not see a CRASH in the sense of a sustained trend. Look at the Monthly Array on the NASDAQ. This showed more of a target for July than August. July closed at 21122.45. If August closes below that number, then this is going to get interesting.

To: marcher who wrote (216184)	8/27/2025 4:13:56 AM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 217712

The teotwawki files: "DEFCON1" Interest Rates & The Wildcard of War SUNDAY, AUGUST 24, 2025 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG The computer has been showing that September was where we should expect Powell to cut rates. Of course, the biased media pitches this as a feud between Powell and Trump, and while I disagree with Trump, who always wants lower rates, that only benefits speculators and not the savers. Trump has always been a borrower - not a lender. Naturally, he always wants lower rates. This time, he has indicated that he will NOT send troops to Ukraine, and keeping the US out of the brewing war that Europe is so desperate to create was the real missing piece to the puzzle for Powell. He knows that if we engage in this war, it will be the same as Vietnam, and inflation will explode. Despite the info I am getting from reliable sources, interest rates will turn back up with war, and 2025 may be a historic low. Even on our Cyclical-Infused Stochastic, the Red moved above the Yellow, also indicating a downturn. While 2025 is a turning point, note that we have three Directional Changes in a row for 2026, 2027, and 2028. Everything is still pointing to a change in the wind for 2026. You just had the Neocon Kaja Kallas tell the BBC that giving up any territory to Russia is a trap. The EU has ZERO intention of allowing any peace. Nearly 1.8 million Ukrainians are dead, and nearly 13 million have left the country. Kallas does not care about Ukrainians. She is a psychopath who just wants to kill Russians today for the sins of Stalin, who was from Georgia, not Russian. Here is the array from August 1st. It was showing a Panic Cycle for the week of August 26th, following a turning point the week of August 11th, which ended up being the meeting between Trump and Putin in Alaska, even to the day of the model. Here is the current array. It still shows a Panic Cycle for next week and a turning point for the week of 9/01, which is where we see the turning point on most markets. Then the next Panic Cycle is off into the week of October 27th. With the markets poised for a possible high here into the 1st week of September, and this index also lining up, while the whole Powell thing may make it appear its up, up, and away, there is a risk of a wildcard coming from the geopolitical landscape.

To: marcher who wrote (216184)	8/27/2025 4:22:02 AM
From: TobagoJack	2 Recommendations Recommended By Arran Yuan Nixpix Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217712

The teotwawki files: "DEFCON1" September Update SUNDAY, AUGUST 24, 2025 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG COMMENT: Looks like the latest pvt blog Socrates forecast is wrong. On Friday, the US share market was up BIG when socrates was calling for a crash. Powell says fed will likely cut rates in mid September, so with that anticipation, no way the market is going down into that. Nvdia earning this week too. Don’t understand the bearish sentiment. DS REPLY: Whenever we make an good temporary high, there has to be that final spike up that sucks in everyone to one side. The reasons markets will then decline are that you run out of buying power. Everyone who ever thought of buying has now bought. When some start to take profits, the selling begins, and this forces the later comers to sell their newly prized purchases. Summer rallies are just seasonal events, just as October is notorious for crashes. While the market appears to be making its final exhaustive move up, our cyclical-infused stochastic shows the RED has just exceeded the YELLOW, also warning that a potential decline is starting to build. The target week has not changed - the first week of September. If the Dow can reach the technical target of 47221, then it becomes more likely for a sharp short-term decline. When we look at the Monthly Array, it still shows August as the key target with September as a singleton, yet with high volatility. I would suspect this implies that either the intraday high will be in August or the highest monthly closing will be in August. As I have just put out the interest rate/war dilemma, it appears that volatility will start to rise from September, especially going into March of 2026, where we have a Panic Cycle. Our War Index also has a Panic Cycle in March of 2026, whereas the Euro has a Panic Cycle in February.