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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Madharry who wrote (78057)9/9/2025 9:21:34 AM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 78470
 
Very nice w/ the coins. My Dad was a gold/silver bug but that was in the 80's. I have the coins he gave his kids that included some of the junk silver dimes, quarters and 1/2 dollars. The Gold coins cost him $331/coin and 41 years later they are $3,600/coin. That works out to be a 6.03% CAGR which beats inflation for the same period at 3.18%.

My position in gold/silver stocks are mainly used as an inflation hedge. My concern is that we may/could see Stagflation next year or even hyperinflation. Not sure what the event will be that causes such a move but this time holding cash may not be the safest position.

I am at almost 30% cash held in treasuries over at Vandguard and have been thinking it may be a good idea to put part of that into something like the Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund (VGCYX)

The Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund (VGCYX) is an actively managed mutual fund that invests in a variety of U.S. and foreign equity securities. Its holdings are a result of a specific investment strategy that goes beyond just precious metals

Investment Strategy

The fund's core objective is to achieve long-term capital appreciation by identifying and investing in companies that are poised for growth due to "capital cycles." This means the fund seeks:

  • To buy companies in industries where capital spending is declining and competition is low, which often leads to higher returns.

  • To avoid companies with easily replicable business models or assets, favoring those with unique and hard-to-replicate infrastructure or business advantages.

  • A concentrated portfolio that, while globally diversified, may hold a greater percentage of its assets in particular issuers compared to a typical diversified fund.

A key part of this strategy is a requirement to hold at least 25% of its net assets in companies primarily engaged in the precious metals and mining industry.

Sector Allocation

The fund's portfolio is concentrated in the materials sector but also includes significant exposure to other industries. As of recent data, the approximate sector breakdown is:

  • Materials: ~33%

  • Financials: ~14%

  • Information Technology: ~13%

  • Consumer Staples: ~9%

  • Other Sectors: The remaining portion is spread across Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Health Care, Utilities, and Communication Services