To: Zeuspaul who wrote (15961 ) 2/27/1998 8:39:00 AM From: Henry Niman Respond to of 32384
Here's what Dow Jones had to say about renewed takeover (hostile) speculation: Dow Jones Newswires -- February 27, 1998 SmithKline Beecham Shrs Climb On Glaxo Takeover Speculation LONDON (Dow Jones)--Shares in SmithKline Beecham PLC (SBH) edged higher Friday on speculation that Glaxo Wellcome PLC (GLX) might launch a hostile bid for the drugs company, having failed to strike a merger deal earlier this week. The possibility of a Glaxo bid was mooted by analysts immediately after the merger talks ended late Monday, but many discounted it because of the cost and likely opposition from SmithKline. Fresh media speculation Friday, however, appear to have fueled market excitement once again. Around 0900 GMT, shares in SmithKline were up 14 pence, or 1.9%, to 762 pence, while Glaxo shares are down 4 pence to 1753 pence. Shares in fellow drugs company Zeneca Group PLC have climbed 36 pence, or 1.4%, to 2690 pence. A takeover bid would be a costly affair. If an offer were made around 900 pence a share, a price many see as fair, Glaxo would have to come up with a record-breaking GBP50 billion. And even then success couldn't be assured, especially if SmithKline tried to force a bidding war. On the other hand, analysts agree that events in the past month have made it painfully obvious that the drugs sector is formally in play and anything is possible. 'We're not discounting a bid. In fact the (SmithKline) share price at the moment is saying that the market wants a bid,' said one analyst at a U.S. brokerage. James Culverwell, an analyst at Merrill Lynch, agrees a takeover isn't out of the question. But he points out that SmithKline only has around GBP5.00 billion in assets, leaving Glaxo to amortize huge amounts of goodwill - possibly as much as GBP2.50 billion a year. That could make it hard, he says, to convince Glaxo shareholders that a takeover is in their best interests. Lehman Brothers analyst Ian Smith says a lot depends on Glaxo's accounting practices. If the goodwill was amortized over a long period and only amounted to around 10% of total earnings, then analysts would probably study the company on a pre-amortization basis. That would change, however, if goodwill started cutting into earnings by 25%-35%. Despite that, Smith doubts whether Glaxo Chairman Richard Sykes would let accounting issues get in the way if he decided a takeover made sense. 'Some people feel that the restructuring of the drugs industry is far too important to be screwed up by silly accounting rules,' he said. 'I'm pretty sure Sykes wouldn't be dictated to by a bunch of accountants.' If Glaxo did launch a bid, it would round off what has been a hectic few months in the industry. It all started in January, when SmithKline confirmed market rumors that it was in merger talks with American Home Products Corp. The likely cost savings generated by such a merger sparked a sharp rally in SmithKline and American Home Products shares. Other pharmaceutical stocks around the world also soared as investors prepared for a rash of takeover activity in the sector. Just two weeks later, however, SmithKline abruptly called off its talks and announced plans instead to team up with Glaxo in a marriage that would create the world's largest drugs company. The companies gave no hint of impending problems. In their respective full year profit results just last week, Glaxo and SmithKline were effusive in their praise for each other's products and vowed an announcement on the merger would come in early March. In fact it came earlier than that, with SmithKline and Glaxo stunning the market late Monday with news that the talks were off. Around 1040 GMT, shares in SmithKline have continued their early ascent, trading at 777 pence, up 29 pence. Glaxo was down 7 pence at 1750 pence and Zeneca was up 3 pence at 2657 pence. -By Erik Portanger, 44-171-832-8166, eportanger@ap.org