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Strategies & Market Trends : Russia/Templeton Russia Fund (TRF) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas Haegin who wrote (59)3/1/1998 6:57:00 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94
 
I guess it's true. But how much foreign money is there in that
system? I heard 9 billion; Russia's market cap is 40 billion?
I absolutely agree that Russia will tank should a meltdown
happen. But 40 bln seems a very low price for a country of
150 mln with vast natural resources. Microsoft's 20000 or so
employees are valued at 200 bln. nowadays. Investors are
more willing to buy Microsoft's employee for 10 mln than
a Russian employee for $800, coming in package with resources.
Due to enormous political risk,
at first there were no bidders on the privatized state property.
The value of that property is much higher than what it was sold
for; this coincided with stabilization of the ruble, and rapidly
falling interest rates. So Russia had a huge bull market. I
think, in case Russia chooses normal capitalistic way to restructure
its economics, the potential of the stocks will be huge
I'm looking at 20-bagger on the 10-20 year horizon. This
would mean the Russian market would be valued at 50% of it's
GDP, which at least would be equal to that in 1985. So
I believe there is a huge long-term opportunity in Russia
-Vi



To: Thomas Haegin who wrote (59)3/3/1998 6:35:00 AM
From: Thomas Haegin  Respond to of 94
 
Thread, Inkombank has a website at:

inkom.ru

They unfortunately do not update it very often, but nevertheless.

Regards,
Thomas