To: Mohan Marette who wrote (18634 ) 3/2/1998 12:15:00 AM From: George Dvorsky Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 97611
Mohan/All, It surprises me that noone on this thread blames DEC for Compaq's under performance of late. CPQ had been shadowing DELL for the last year, see chart:tscn.com and pulled back when it announced it would finally take on the underperforming DEC. First the negatives were exposed and CPQ suffered a bit. Then the market focused on the positives and CPQ perked up to 37-38. Then rumors of another bad DEC quarter surfaced and DEC moved to cut costs and the word was that they were trying to look good for CPQ. The market doesn't like uncertainty and started, and continues, to bail out of both (the risk factor in the risk/reward ratio just went way up). DEC dropped below 60 just after someone dumped 250,000 shares last week. and promptly broke below 58. I think the tail is wagging the dog here. Most of the ranting on this board is right, CPQ should not be going down like this. But the board ignores the fact that this is now CPQ/DEC and if DEC suffers a $1.00 loss this quarter CPQ will hit $25. Of course if DEC blows away the street's numbers, CPQ could surge to 40 on that news and $50 as the doubters come back. Don't underestimate DEC's power to shake up the market at earnings time. It has been historically unpredictable every quarter and has had it's share of fireworks and duds. That is not what the recent CPQ investor is used to, but you better get used to it. As a long time DEC supporter, I already am used to it.... Keep your powder dry and don't fire until you see the whites of their eyes... .. And by the way, isn't anyone tired of hearing about channel stuffing and one stupid downgrade on this thread? If that's all the news there is, maybe the stock deserves to go down. gd