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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Phoenix who wrote (12790)3/3/1998 8:01:00 PM
From: Sonki  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 77400
 
Gary, Thanks for such detailed work. if csco tanks in July, i will
be very happy to load up 2001 leap. new leaps comeout in june/july.

Would you put new money in LU? Just got down graded and it seems like
this might be a good time to buy LU? though I don't quite know how to
evaluate it. PE is 153? LU also has several fabs and they are like
a design house as well, and wonder if it got downgraded due to semi?

I can not buy CSCO - overloaded in my portfolio
(my last purchase was at 30 something) .

Any idea for new money? everything I like, I already have
too much of it.



To: The Phoenix who wrote (12790)3/4/1998 11:50:00 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77400
 
>>Best Case..Cisco at 200+ ...Worst Case...Cisco at 70 by July 01<<

Summarizing the prediction: we don't have a faintest. Cause an interval of 300 percent up from today's price (add a polster of -10% on the bottom...) in two/three years is an absolute certainty.
No need to predict anything anymore.

The moral of the story: use more facts and not just some PEs, a growth rate or two and today's price.

BTW anybody remembers the 1995-6 and the growth rates in those days? Sigh...

DJ

PS: I assume 200+ is meant as a no-splits price. However, if it is meant as after-split, then the prediction is even more ...bare-headed ("should we expect a 1:2 or 1:3 split?")