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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: donald sew who wrote (35902)3/4/1998 12:10:00 AM
From: George Mc Geary  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Donald, did not find any news to date 12:00 PM ET to justify the run up in WFC. There may be something in the morning to account for the rise in the last 20 minutes of trading. George



To: donald sew who wrote (35902)3/4/1998 7:46:00 AM
From: marc chatman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Donald, Globex futures for the Nasdaq are down substantially at the moment. I know you sometimes look at candlesticks. Some of the indexes, notably the NDX, SOX and IIX, indicate hammers following some significant declines. I'm still learning my way around candles, but I would have thought the pattern indicates a near term move to the upside. Am I reading these hammers incorrectly? If not, any way to reconcile these with the sentiment and futures, which seem to indicate a lower opening? Thanks.



To: donald sew who wrote (35902)3/4/1998 8:17:00 AM
From: joe smith  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
donald,
always enjoy reading your posts. i also think things are a bit pricey and due for a correction. what do you mean when you say the dow is a class one sell with a buy in tomorrow(today) at the highs???? i was thinking techs would be up today with dow down some and then all indexes would start to selloff by noon on thursday of this week. i feel there is a 30% chance that the high in the dow that we set in this run will be the high of the year. i think asia will be a factor and we will be fed a steady diet of earnings warnings next week and beyond. also, interest rates are extremely low, meaning they are more likely to go up than further down. same thing with unemployment.
js



To: donald sew who wrote (35902)3/4/1998 8:50:00 AM
From: Patrick Slevin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 58727
 
Between you and Electric, I'm getting headaches. It is too early for this technical stuff.

Besides, I had too much fun last night so these two posts will likely be even more incoherent than usual.

1. I agree that it is a pivotal day/week, if the rallies cannot be broken soon it may just continue upward for quite some time. The late comeback in the SPX and OEX was created to some extent (IMO) by traders who thought that yesterday was the day to break the market and short-covering (myself included, sorry to say) pushed the SP8H and OEX to record high closes. Another day like that and we could see the SP8H (and SPX) push up another 10 or 15 points before this is over. Plus, the "Buy The Dips" crowd is still unabashed.

2. The strong DJIA, I believe, is masking distribution. Thus the weaker Nasdaq.

3. Asia, as has been historically the case vis-a-vis the perception of it by Americans, and it's problems will impact US markets to the degree that people believe how seriously it shall affect the U.S.
Unfortunately, if the markets do not take Asian problems as a serious threat to the U.S. then we may get a more restrictive Fed downstream.

4. The A/D has been positive 25 out of the last 28 days. Enough already.

5. The DJIA has been positive 5 straight days, Record Closes 5 straight days.

6. Bonds. Theoretically oversold, and migration to the June contract should create some fireworks I would think. This should probably help stocks, at least for a short while.

7. Another key for the week is that it is Unemployment Numbers/Non-Farm Payroll reporting....generally a potentially explosive week.

8. XOI for the time being, as well as the Bank sector, is benefiting from the distribution from the NDX and SOX. How long this goes on is unclear, but a strong Bank sector aids the overall market.

Even though I think the sucker has to trade off, I would hesitate until I had a clue as to the day's finish. I would be leary of a likely last hour rally if the market is selling off mid-day. That would probably be the time to buy the puts, if the market does not look like it's going for another record close.