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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jeff Jordan who wrote (3245)3/7/1998 7:21:00 PM
From: Sam P.  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 93625
 
Jeff and thread,http://techweb.cmp.com/ebn/942/

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ÿEBN's Daily News Digest
DRAM Makers Divided Over Future Memory Technologies

(6:30 p.m. EST, 3/6/98)
By Andrew MacLellan

Just months away from the first introductions of Direct Rambus DRAM,
chip vendors are showing a surprising lack of consensus as to which
memory technology will lead the market in 1999.

Despite Intel Corp.'s full-court press to drive RDRAM onto the desktop
PC, competing technologies such as double-data-rate (DDR) DRAM and
SLDRAM remain in the production plans of many IC companies and are
viewed as potential contenders in next year's desktop and server
markets.

By the end of this year, PC100 SDRAM, which supports Intel's 100-MHz
system bus, is expected to account for the majority of bits shipped. But
DRAM suppliers and their OEM customers are still weighing which new
architecture will best narrow the growing gulf between memory and
processor performance -- a gap that should only increase with Intel's
1999 rollout of the 64-Mbit Merced RISC processor.

The DRAM industry is reluctant to give RDRAM its exclusive endorsement
because access to Rambus technology is contingent upon a licensing fee
and royalty agreement, while both DDR and SLDRAM are open architectures.
Other concerns include Rambus' questionable ability to scale to
higher-performance systems and its initial cost per die.

Samsung Semiconductor Inc. and Hitachi Semiconductor (America) Inc., for
example, are preparing to launch DDR parts during the middle of this
year. The companies will separately introduce a Direct Rambus device
this year and will let their PC customers choose between them.

However, given the particular strengths of each architecture, neither
DDR nor Rambus appears headed for a clean sweep, according to Brett
Etter, Hitachi's DRAM product marketing manager. Etter said Rambus'
32-device-per-channel limitation will restrict systems using
64-Mbit-generation chips to a maximum capacity of 256 Mbytes, which is
too small to service high-end PCs, workstations, and servers.

"We'll make Rambus and DDR parts, but there is going to be
segmentation," Etter said. "DDR is going to be a better fit in
higher-end computers, while Rambus will fit into midrange and low-end
computers where a mainstream solution is dependent on component count."

RDRAM architect Rambus Inc., Mountain View, Calif., said it has failed
to generate interest among high-end server makers, but claims to have
redressed its capacity issues.

"There is an expectation by a number of companies who continue to pursue
DDR that they will find customers in the high-end server market," said
Subodh Toprani, vice president and general manager of Rambus' Logic
Products Division. "My sense is that if we are able to get three or four
server companies to go with Rambus, they will drop DDR."

Though lagging behind Rambus in their design process, DDR DRAM and
SLDRAM have advanced to the latter stages of the JEDEC committee
approval process, with final standardization of a DDR specification
expected soon.

SLDRAM this week received JEDEC approval for its packaging pinout
specification and should appear for a full committee vote later this
year.

SLDRAM's chief proponents are Siemens Microelectronics Inc. and Micron
Technology Inc., the only two DRAM companies to have increased their
revenue in last year's depressed market, according to Semico Research
Corp., Phoenix. Siemens and Micron plan to introduce SLDRAM midyear.

Proponents said that in addition to their open architecture, DDR and
SLDRAM are under consideration because both are extensions of existing
DRAM technology and will demand fewer pinout, packaging, and module
adjustments than Rambus. In fact, Hitachi's Etter said SLDRAM could
serve as a follow-on to DDR, not just at the high end but in mainstream
PCs as well. "It's a very easy migration path," he said.

Sherry Garber, an analyst at Semico, said any slip in the Rambus
adoption strategy could allow DDR to migrate from the high end into the
volume-PC market.

"I continue to believe that the industry cannot handle a revolutionary
change like Rambus in the next generation," Garber said. "They need to
make it evolutionary. But it all comes down to dollars and cents and how
much it's going to cost to convert to Rambus and produce the parts."

So far, Intel is standing firm, saying its future chip sets will support
only Rambus memory. However, companies such as Micron and Via
Technologies Inc. are developing chip sets for SLDRAM. Via already has a
chip set supporting DDR DRAM and plans to introduce a chip set for
Direct RDRAM as well.

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