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Strategies & Market Trends : BFT: Will the tulip craze ever break down? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pancho Villa who wrote (28)3/10/1998 10:37:00 PM
From: robert elmasian  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 650
 
Pancho, You asked for analysts names on BFIT.
My info is incomplete, but depending on who and
where you ask, there are 4-6 analysts. I have the
names of three and where they work. They
are Gary Prestopino at Mesirow Financial,
Andrew Zarnett at Ladenburg Thalmann, and
Bailey Dalton at CIBC Oppenheimer.

The first two issued buy ratings in February based
on decreases in expenses (mainly $4 mil from refinancing
debt) with target prices in the low 30's while
Dalton's report was in December and had a target of
$24, now surpassed. None of these guys are long-time
major analysts though it would be interesting to
see what they have to say. It would be particularly
good to know whether their firms have any investment
banking business with Bally in any of it's incarnations.
(I recently read a WSJ article that pointed out that
this can bias recommendations up.)

It might be even more informative to check with the
thinking of the mutual funds you listed that hold
large BFIT positions. Sometimes a phone call will
get them to give their thinking, particularly if
they think you are/might be investing with them.

Also, it might be interesting to know what some
of SI's fundamental guru's, like Roger
Babb or Sankar Acharya, think of this situation.
Finally, short interest which increased from
about 500,000 to 900,000 shares since the beginning
of the year (out of 20 mil outstanding) suggests
that there are others out their who share your
thinking about BFIT being overvalued.

Bob