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To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (33819)	3/11/1998 1:25:00 PM
From: McNabb Brothers	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 176387

Paul, If you think that is the only risk that companies have, you need to read many more books than the one you just quoted out of! Hank

To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (33819)	3/11/1998 2:08:00 PM
From: Jim Patterson	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 176387

re: <<Jim, you are totally wrong! Your assertions are incorrect. I seriously suggest you get a copy of any introductory book on finance and read it! You will find that risk is defined as the standard deviation of the expected cash flows>> I was finance major, I know that the books say about risk. In the classroom, all that is fine and well. Elements of risk in any stock. 1) Company fundamental performance. 2) Public opinion of that performance. 3) Flood and natural disasters. 4) The insurance kick back for said disasters. 5) Public interpretation of said disasters and the recovery plan. 6) Analyst downgrades. 7) Fido selling for what knows what reason. 8) Public finding out Fido is selling and selling to because Fido must have a good reason that no one knows about. 9) Fido buys the stock squeezing the shorts before you can add to your position. 10) I think you get the point. As a matter of fact, I would say that in the Stock market, very few investors could tell you what the STD of the Expected cash flow is. Now is that free cash flow, Cash flow before EBIDA. Do charges taken for in process R&D affect this cash flow? Paul I know you are an Econ guy, but the market is Fear, greed and complacency. Three things that have not changed in 200 years in the human race. Jim