SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bw who wrote (14609)3/12/1998 12:58:00 PM
From: Big Dog  Respond to of 95453
 
MDCO continues to tell us something boys and girls. It don't act like this for nothing.



To: bw who wrote (14609)3/12/1998 1:28:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Hey now, I never flame (ggg) Especially not when one reports correct facts such as yourself. Yes, FLC does have a larger fleet, more drillships, etc. However, you left out that they are heavily weighted in the ultra shallow barge drilling area which (right now) is getting shall we say "less than a premium?" additionally, I don;\'t like RB, and never have. they've never hit numbers since I've been following them. they've also had repeated extraordinary losses form their oil and gas ops. MGT in RB just seems less than bright. FLC does have very sharp mgt (I owned them when it was $10 back in early '95 and still on the NASDAQ as FLCN(that was two splits ago) and they are HEAVILY commited to rapid growth. In times of trouble and doubt though, heavily leveraged co's are discounted. NE's mgt is somewhat conservative. They will not build speculative rigs, but are actively looking for aquisitions and as you know upgrading rigs to new designs that produce better margins and more cash flow. NE dmped theirland rig and shallow jackups onto NBR and PDE, respectively, last yr when drilling bullishness was at its peak, and began moving more towards deepwater when they purchased Nedrill Drilling in late '96 I believe(North sea drilling co.) That's where they got their harsh environment deepwater jackups, all of their drillships, and some of their semi's. Not a bad change out, eh? in hindsight. I'll never 2nd guess them after those brilliant moves. NE has gone thru major changes in the last 2 yrs and mgt contiues to greatly increase shareholder value which is what I'm after. James Day is one of the smartest men I have ever met. Don't mess w/ him. (ggg)

Now, let's look at valuation:
'98 '99
FLC 2.18 3.34
NE 1.96 3.18

When you add, revenue from the Shelf IV semi to NE(assuming around 180-200K dayrate) you add about .12 to the bottom line, so that brings '99 to somewhat above 3.18 depending upon when the rig rolls. Keep in mind that the majority of NE's growth is coming from increased capacity from the Shelf IV (renamed something), and EVA conversions and reactivations of other rigs. FLC's growh is assuming higher dayrates. NE does have some dayrate growth in but its K's are more L-T and don't rollover that often so a slowing of dayrate growth (which is likely) actually favors NE. When you factor in NE's strong balance sheet and stock buyback program, futher aquisitions are not out of the question and the co. has stated that it is actively seeking rigs in good shape. That's my take on things.

BTW-- What do you mean by {2 MBAs)? MBAs are a dime-a-dozen just like attroney's or VC guys. Doesn't mean anything special. Most co's are run by MBAs.

-Lucretius