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Non-Tech : E*Trade (NYSE:ET) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Morytko who wrote (2553)3/14/1998 12:41:00 PM
From: Gan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13953
 
To the best of my knowledge, Your order will not be traded after 4:00PM until next business morning(9:30 AM EST) no matter what happens to after hour trading market. I think after hours trading is between big institutions and market makers only. It will not apply to individual investor like us. I could be wrong.



To: Steve Morytko who wrote (2553)3/14/1998 1:16:00 PM
From: jim detwiler  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13953
 
For the Web-based e-tailers, we look for large market opportunities where significant shifts to the Web are
likely, such as travel and stock brokerage. The challenge is for companies to build enough of a brand and
service quotient to maintain price. E*trade, Onsale, and Preview appear to have the right characteristics for
success. For E*Trade, revenues per customer are already high, leaving the challenge of building a larger
customer base, which we believe will be achieved through superior content. For Onsale, it has attracted a
big audience and it needs more of a supply of goods to auction. Preview's audience of vacation seekers is
one of the largest e-tail databases on the Web, with the help AOL distribution. We expect its improved site
will entice higher revenues per customer over time. We remained challenged to appreciate the value of the
lower-margin e-tailers, like Amazon and the music sellers. We favor Amazon, because of the high levels
of loyalty, if not love that we hear expressed for the brand, which may insulate it from competitive forces to
some degree.
Of course, this all sounds rational in theory, but how does it help us figure out when to buy and sell these
stocks during wild swings in prices? Well, given the lack of liquidity in most of the stocks, we believe the
best strategy remains buying a basket of these stocks, selling a bit on spikes, but tending to buy more on
dips. We remain convinced that our model assumptions are conservative, allowing higher EPS after
another year or two of investment spending, yielding stock prices that can continue to outperform
technology stock averages. We will continue to test our assumptions. If audience growth stalled and
advertising budgets dried up and e-tailing response rates fall, we might be forced to lower price targets, but
we view this as unlikely, given the overwhelming amount of current evidence. We also don't want to fight
the tape. Our positive inclinations for these stocks must be shared by new buyers, which seem to be
focused on these stocks. Catalysts, such as reports of March quarter results should continue to help these
stocks move forward and upward, in our view.