To: Cogito who wrote (50398 ) 3/17/1998 1:22:00 PM From: Cameron Dorey Respond to of 58324
Greetings, all. My 2 cents, FWIW. (long, rambling, whatever) We have seen nothing but neutral/bad news pretty much since the end of last Q. Some have responded immediately to the news by selling at the open, some the next day, some continue to hold but complain about it. The daytraders and options traders are having a good/bad time, depending on which side of the fence they are on. The long-term holders are being cajoled incessantly by the bears/ doomsayers/ (crooked management) conspiracy theorists. As far as the stock market in general goes, it's pretty much SNAFU. Now, what to do? Well, if you're about to retire and/or if your main source of living income comes from playing the market, it seems pretty clear: get out now, find a new high flyer to put the paltry remains of your "investment" in (anybody remember the "Click & Clack Capital Depreciation Fund?), and eat PB&J for the next few months until you can afford real food again. On the other hand, IF you can afford to have a long-term outlook and IF you still believe that there is the wildest chance that this company can make money (and thus make money for you), then sit on it. When I look back on companies which I have owned and sold, I find that more often than not I have sold too early (years too early) rather than too late, particularly those in the high-tech sector. Usually because things went south, news was unfailingly bad, and I jumped to got out with my skin relatively intact. What companies? Intel, early 80's; Oracle late 80's, come to mind immediately. If I had held on to them, in each of these three cases I would have had at least 4-digit returns by now, instead of 10-30%. IMHO, Iomega is one of those companies. The market for its product(s) is just beginning to get interesting, as evidenced by other companies jumping in, planning to jump in, or testing the water with announcements of "concept" or "imminent product launch." The one to beat is here. Is Iomega a one-product company? Sure. So are Intel (CPU's), Oracle (DB software), Microsoft (PC software) (okay, I didn't buy this one, but I should have), etc., etc., etc. You may well disagree, obviously many do. Be my guest. But, just don't expect me to agree with you that "Rocky's Right!" just because even a blind pig can stumble upon an acorn eventually. I know of NO company more than a year old whose stock price has gone up continuously since it went public. Why should we believe that Iomega was supposed to be the exception? Cameron "for every human problem, there is a neat, plain solution - and it is always wrong."