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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ploni who wrote (5337)3/22/1998 4:02:00 PM
From: Don Westermeyer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
Charles,

IMO the thing that will pop the bubble will be a modest in interest rates, may be even rising only to 6.5% or so.

I was reading an article recently that graphed the bond yield against the (S&P?) earnings yield concluding that they don't diverge for very long. Currently the stock market yield is already significantly lower than the earnings yield implying that either corporate earnings must increase or the bond yield must go down.

I think it is pretty clear that corporate earnings are not going to be all that great this year, so all that is left supporting the market is low interest rates. Who really knows what direction interest rates will go.




To: Ploni who wrote (5337)3/22/1998 4:04:00 PM
From: larry  Respond to of 18691
 
Just talked to a fund manager who started shorting the DOW at 6500. He taunted himself by saying he is getting numb about his loss. What's the difference of losing 50% compared with 30%?:) I can't agree more.



To: Ploni who wrote (5337)3/22/1998 4:10:00 PM
From: sammy levy  Respond to of 18691
 
"I imagine that one day the music will stop ..."

Like the surgery was successful but the patient died :-)

Sammy