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To: Lalit Jain who wrote (8695)3/22/1998 8:35:00 PM
From: Mark Bartlett  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116760
 
Lalit,

IMO it will likely not have much of an impact. These deals are made and broken in a heart beat ..... you never know though ... this time may be different.

MB



To: Lalit Jain who wrote (8695)3/22/1998 8:57:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116760
 
Judging by Nikkei reaction should be another Dow record next week..

Bull Stampede Could Be Slowed by Earnings
08:16 a.m. Mar 22, 1998 Eastern
By Marjore Olster

NEW YORK (Reuters) - There appears to be little on the horizon to stop
the stampede of bulls from charging down Wall Street again this week,
though analysts say the herd could be slowed by corporate profit
warnings.

The market is likely to be propelled higher mainly by portfolio
window-dressing. Money managers whose funds have underperformed the
market will be rushing to put cash into rising stocks before the quarter
ends to enhance returns.

''No portfolio manager wants to be caught holding cash at the end of a
quarter in a rising market,'' said Hugh Johnson, chief investment
officer at First Albany. ''That will give the market a positive bias
next week.''

The Dow Jones industrial average topped off the week by jumping 103.38
points Friday to 8,906.43, crossing 8,900 for the first time and setting
its fifth straight record. For the week the it rose 303.91.

The dizzying rally comes against a backdrop of solid economic growth,
low interest rates and inflation and very low unemployment. Economic
data confirming that picture have provided fertile ground for stocks.

Strong European markets are also encouraging investors. London's FTSE
100 index rose above 6,000 for the first time Friday though it closed
below that level.

The market has so far shrugged off a series of profit warnings from
major U.S. companies that expect their earnings to fall short of Wall
Street estimates this quarter.

The pace of pre-announcements could pick up next week as the quarter
comes to a close.

''There will be landmines along the way,'' said Johnson. ''The real
question is, 'Where are they going to come from and are they going to
overwhelm the market?' They haven't yet.''

Thom Brown, managing director of Rutherford Brown and Catherwood, said
the market is ignoring a ''wishy-washy earnings outlook'' and looks
overbought.

''But the market has so much momentum behind it, it is going to be tough
to see any meaningful sell-off until the enormous amount of domestic and
foreign money stops pouring into it,'' Brown said.

''I am very much in awe of this market. I just don't see anything on the
horizon that is going to knock it down,'' he added.

The nation's largest companies are expected to report average earnings
increases of 1.7 percent from a year earlier, down sharply from the 10.4
percent growth analysts were forecasting at the start of 1998, according
to companies that track Wall Street profit forecasts.

That would be the slowest growth since the fourth quarter of 1991, when
profits for companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 index were flat.

Many analysts have said the market needs to pause because stock prices
have raced ahead of earnings power.

''We will get a pullback of 7 to 10 percent between now and the end of
the summer,'' said Eric Miller, chief investment officer at Donaldson,
Lufkin & Jenrette.

But Miller also said he did not expect a correction in the very near
term unless broad concerns arose in the market over corporate earnings
in the second half of the year and in 1999.

Though profit warnings from some big companies have not done much damage
to the broad market, they have hit individual stocks.

The technology sector in particular is showing signs of stress after
warnings from Intel Corp., Compaq Computer Corp. and Motorola Inc. that
earnings were hurt, partly by weak demand from Asia.

''There is lots of anecdotal evidence that semiconductor equipment
manufacturers are getting beaten up pretty badly in terms of Asia,''
said First Albany's Johnson. He said users in Asia were cutting back
orders amid the financial turmoil.

Oil stocks should continue to recover from a slump induced by falling
crude prices. Crude moved off nine-year lows this week and a number of
analysts said the stocks were an attractive buy at current levels.

The Nasdaq composite index rose 17.5 points at 1,789.16 for the week.
The Standard & Poor's composite index of 500 stocks rose 30.57 to
1,099.16. The NYSE composite index of all listed common stocks was up
15.44 at 572.61.

No major economic data is due out next week.

Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved.



To: Lalit Jain who wrote (8695)3/22/1998 9:06:00 PM
From: IngotWeTrust  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116760
 
Lalit, someone I deeply respect put oil's 2Mil b/d overproduction into perspective for me this afternoon:

In 1986 it was 60 M b/d consumption w/11 M b/d overproduction
In 1998, it is 74 M b/d consumption w/2 M b/d "over production."

I believe twas a snippit from this wknd's Barrons-Alan Abelson's column.

Kinda changes things, don't it(grin)

Regards,
O/49r

P.S. Alex...thx for that terrific Millennium Gold Coin article!