<<<Look forward to your numbers, Coy, and do enjoy Hawaii a little!>>
Actually I live in Hawaii, Downtown Honolulu to be exact..
So yes I do enjoy hawaii ;)..you could be thinking of cfseattle or gdhubly from the AOL thread and here(cfseattle)..they both live in the area around seattle..
from post 333
<<<Snake,
I have to say I am concerned about this qtr, but I think they will
beat the (.20) by a cent or two a share that Zacks has them at currently...From my estimates they need about 25 million to break even
with about 1 cent loss or profit = 2.8 million dollars past or below the 25 million mark....
If anyone thinks my numbers are wrong speak up....it's all guess work
The positive things I see this qtr
Worms 2 shipped in U.S. Publish and distribute..70,000 copies
Gross margins ?(%40) = $36.00 price x %40 = $14.40 x 70,000 =
$1,008,000
****ADD 3/23/97 reorders worms 70,000 x $14.40=*****
$1,008,000
Worms europe Distribute only gross %20 (old50,000)
3/23/98 70,000 reorders
$504,000
****Magic the gathering Plainswalker worldwide (OLD120,000)
3/23/98 100,000 gross %50 $48.99ea
$2,449,500
Civ2 reorders (seemed to have sold out in my area during x-mas)
50,000 %65 $48.99ea
$1,592,175
Civ2 Fantastic worlds reorders 30,000 %65 $29.99ea
$584,805
Back catologe misc, distribution and oem
(OLD$4,000,000)
(3/23/98 $5,000,000) ceative bundle
**Ultimate Race pro (old150,000) 3/23/98 120,000 worldwide %40 $48.99
$2,351,520
**M1 TAnk Platoon (OLD150,000) 3/23/98 120,000 worldwide %65 $54.99
$4,289,200
TOTAL 3/23/98
18,787,200
25,000,000-18,787,200 =$(6,212,800)
28,600,000 shares = (.21) cents a share
I still come out about (.21) a share, but I have a gut feeling
that the numbers are going to be less than (.21)
Worms two numbers are most likely higher.....
Original magic reorders have shown up in some of the stores
retail $19.95
Creative OEM could be greater addition than one million, but it depends if they pay the fees to microprose when they ship or sale the cards...I find it hard to believe that they would get only a buck for a "new" title my guess is about 5 bucks but you have to cut kalisto in also..
Adjusted the initial shipments of M1 and Ultimate race to be more inline with Press Release
Reduced the Magic numbers...Some one on the board felt the intial shipments were less..I tend to agree...
IT ONLY TAKES ABOUT 1 MILLION TO MOVE THE EARNINGS PER SHARE
BY 2-3 CENTS...So if they do better then what I have posted..
with an extra 2 million you could be looking at earnings
of about (.16) a share
If anyone has more reliable data or a better estimation of a product
please input and I will revise the estimate and we can see how close
all of can get to the real numbers..Many heads are better than one;)
Coy
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