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To: B. Thomson who wrote (1725)3/27/1998 1:59:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 3335
 
Hello B Thomson
>Powerful Currency<
My best advice is to read a book by Judy Shelton -- "Money Meltdown"
Then find the articles in the WSJ March 24-25 by Robert Mundell as well
as many others that are beginning to show up with more frequency in
many publications like the Economist, etc.

Money Meltdown
It is an excellant introduction to international currencies and this
modern experimentation with floated currencies - a part of our world
since Nixon.

The historical struggle between floaters and hard currency defenders
is a significant and on-going "conversation" about how to place value
on 'anything' for sale. It is a very ancient problem between individuals
and societies.

How do we qualify 'what value' to place on exchanging goods..?
Your sense of the value of my trading goods may be differnt mine.
Historically both hard and soft(paper) has been used to convey value.
Coins of all sorts are hard -- land, goats and food stuffs, silk are
all hard.

Soft money: is simply put a promissory note and it represented a giant leap
in handling commercial transactions. Coming with the promise to repay-in-kind
from ones stores of value at a later time.

Enter Nixon...he was a piece of work....
HE tossed-out both hard and soft money.....for what was called "flexable exchange rates".
They essentially have no value except a percieved system of exchangable
value that can floated upon market considerations and demands.

Theoretically "pineneedles" could be used to back up a floating monetary
system if you and I could agree on their store of value.

The evoloution of our international monetary system has produced great
prosperity and it has worked because of people like Greenspan. But it is
an inherantly unstable system that may yet cause us all great grief.

How do you protect yourself:
If you like hard currencies - buy gold and silver coins and dig a hole
in the ground...."for goodness-sake don't use a bank"....on a safe farm
in a good climate with water.

If you are a soft money man - short the dollar with futures or options.

If your a "flexable currency" kind of person - we better start working out
out a deal to value my store-house of 'pineneedles.'

It can go either way......>>chuckle<<

Fun aside - the dollar as a base currency is not threatened at present.
But equilibrium always wins and the structural debt of the USA as well
as many other countries may someday cause significant disruptions to our
peace of mind.

"Nobody quite know's what is going to happen...we are in uncharted waters"
That's a quote from Treasury Sect Rubin...just a few weeks age on the
Jim Leher News Hour
Hope this helps
Chip