To: Franklin M. Humphreys who wrote (1218 ) 4/3/1998 8:32:00 PM From: raefon Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3247
Franklin, I continue to add to both personal and client positions. I bought stock personally at the $19 level today. I also tried to buy stock on the close as First Analysis came in as a buyer late in the day. I left stock on the "book" at $18 7/8 and $19 hoping for a trade at the bell. I agree with Noblesse as I usually do. The stock is not a sale at these levels for the following near-term reasons: 1)Management understands the estimate game. After reducing expectations to $.12 or $.13, even with a sequentially weaker quarter (for all the reasons we have discussed on this thread)we now have a shot to "suprise" as perverse as that may sound. 2)We know there are going to be sizeable orders for production in q-2. Because TFS chooses not to announce until they have a firm production order, I expect several over the next 30 days or so. 3)We have not yet seen any orders for LCiD, or any other home grown technologies. The company continues to suggest they are coming...and so indicated in the annual report. The orders do appear behind the schedule opined by David Buchanan at last years annual meeting... 4)to make the $1.00 plus estimate for the year, the company has to put up $.88 plus in the last three quarters, once the seasonably weak first quarter is behind us, the filing documents have indicated significant growth. 5)With the expansion plans and the need to finance expensive Lcos inventory, a financing (I know Noblesse is saying from your mouth to gods ear)is IMHO, likely within the next 12-18 months. As I indicated in a previous post, While I am frustrated, I am not a seller at these levels.