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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stephen who wrote (9448)4/9/1998 4:11:00 AM
From: H James Morris  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13594
 
Steve, Yes your correct, right now Wall Street is betting on Aol, Yhoo and Amzn as being growth stocks because of all the TON'S of $$$, advertising that these stocks will pull in.
A year or two down the road, I don't buy it! But right now every 25 tr old stock broker, is convincing your GrandMa, to put her hard earned retirement into these internet plays, because they CAN't loose!!
Example! Today Amazon.com goes up on the Yhoo announcement.They made .08cps, .05 diluted. @ $100ps, who in the hell would buy this stock if they only took, accounting 101?
After the close, the Ceo of Borders (No2, to Barnes & Noble) comes out and says, 'How B&N paid $40mil to Aol, to advertise their products blows my mind, there's just not enough profit in the book business to justify this' he then goes on to say this internet advertising hype will pass.
The bottom line is Wall Street is hyping the advertising expected revenue. But for a while buy, buy,buy.
The real skill here, will be know when to leave and THAT I can't help anyone with.



To: Stephen who wrote (9448)4/9/1998 8:36:00 AM
From: jack rand  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13594
 
That ad growth long has been expected and factored into valuations.
If you dig more deeply you'll find that AOL's share of it is
lower than its user market share; and that there's move by advertisers
to more targeted/niche sites, which increased their share of ad rev by
15%.

This is not an infinite sum game. Competition will increasingly be a
factor.