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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (4488)	4/13/1998 11:22:00 AM
From: OldAIMGuy	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 18928

I posted this note last week on the VLSI board, which had become very quiet recently. Anyone else noticed this same thing on other boards? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Hi John, Seems very quiet around here these days. Must be the big grey clouds hanging over VLSI recently. Just a casual observation of the SI boards over the last year or so, but it seems that a quiet period on a stock thread here is usually followed by a rally in the stock's price. I can't say I've quantified this, but I've seen it on several cycles. Back in my Money Talk BB days on Prodigy, this was also true. Activity dries up after speculators and shorts have moved on. This sort of defines the price bottom." ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Come to think of it, we could probably quantify this based upon the total posts and the length of time the thread has been in existence. That average posting rate could be used as a base line. Then we could use the current daily rate against the average to determine the level of speculative activity in that particular issue. For VLSI the average since that thread started is about 6.5 posts per day. The last 7 days have averaged about 2.3 posts and the stock price is at the low end of it recent range and seems steady. Earnings come out on Wednesday after the close. Now I'll have to check a period when the price is rising. Any thoughts??? Best regards, Tom