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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Paul V. who wrote (18828)	4/15/1998 4:11:00 PM
From: Paul V.	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 70976

Threaders, Following are the DW Bull % as of the close of Tuesday: SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent 2/17/98 2/24/98 3/3/98 3/10/98 3/17/98 3/24/98 3/31/98 4/7/98 4/14/98 bpeuti 89.6 bpeuti 89.6 bpeuti 89.4 bpeuti 89.4 bpeuti 89.4 bpeuti 90.4 bpeuti 91.5 bpeuti 91.5 bpeuti 91.5 bpbank 80.7 bpbank 80.1 bpintl 88.31 bpbank 80.2 bpbank 80.5 bpbank 82.5 bpinsu 81.8 bpguti 83.6 bpguti 84.9 bpsavi 80.6 bpsavi 80 bpsavi 81.2 bpsavi 78.3 bpsavi 80.3 bpsavi 80.4 bpbank 81.4 bpbank 83 bpbank 84.2 bpguti 76.7 bpguti 76.7 bpbank 80.1 bpguti 78.1 bpinsu 77.92 bpguti 79.5 bpguti 79.5 bpinsu 81.8 bpinsu 79.5 bpreal 72.7 bpreal 72.2 bpguti 75.7 bpintl 77.92 bpguti 76.7 bpinsu 78.8 bpsavi 78.8 bpsavi 80.7 bpsavi 78.9 bpinsu 69.9 bpinsu 71.5 10week 72.88 10week 75.6 bpreta 73.1 bpreta 73.5 bpreta 73.8 bpnyse 73.3 bpwall 75.4 10week 69.08 bpmedi 69.3 bpinsu 72.7 bpinsu 75.4 bpwall 72.7 bpnyse 72 bpnyse 72.8 bpreta 73.2 bpfore 72.7 bpmedi 67 bpwall 67.3 bpreal 71.7 bpwall 70.9 bpreal 72.4 10week 71.44 bphous 72.4 bpwall 72.4 bpnyse 72.6 bpwall 66.79 bpsemi 66.1 bpwall 70 bpreal 70.6 bpaero 71.9 bpreal 71.4 bpreal 71.6 bphous 70.9 bpreta 72.3 bpsemi 66.1 10week 65.81 bpmedi 68.4 bpaero 70.5 bpmedi 71.2 bpfore 70.9 bptrans 70.8 bptrans 70.8 bphous 71.4 bpfina 64.4 bpfina 65.8 bpreta 68.3 bpmedi 69.6 bphous 70.8 bpmedi 70.7 bpmedi 70.8 bpreal 70.7 bpreal 70.1 bpnyse 64.1 bpnyse 65.4 bpnyse 68 bpreta 69.4 bpnyse 70.6 bpwall 70.2 10week 70.73 bpaero 70 bpbuil 69.9 bpfore 62.7 bpreta 64.3 bpfina 66.7 bpnyse 68.7 10week 69.38 bphous 69.8 bpfore 69.1 bpfore 69.1 bptrans 69.7 bpaero 61.4 bpaero 63.6 bpsemi 66 bphous 67.3 bpfore 68.5 bpaero 69.7 bpaero 68.9 bpfina 68.8 bpmedi 69.6 bpreta 60.9 bpfore 63.5 bpaero 64.8 bpfina 66.1 bpsoft 66.8 bptrans 69.1 bpfina 68.3 bpbuil 68.2 bpaero 69.2 bphous 60.4 bpbuil 62.3 bphous 64.3 bpfore 64.2 bptele 66.2 bptele 67.7 bpbuil 67.3 bpmach 68.1 bpmach 68.6 bpmach 60.2 bptrans 62 bpfore 62.3 bpheal 64.12 bpbuil 65.9 bpfina 67.5 bpwall 67.2 bpmedi 68 bpfina 65.9 bpbuil 60.1 bphous 61.3 bpbuil 62.3 bpbuil 64.1 bpfina 65.6 bpbuil 66.1 bpmach 66.8 bpauto 65.4 10week 63.97 bptrans 60 bpmach 59.8 bptrans 62 bptrans 63.4 bptrans 64.9 bpmach 65.6 bptele 65.9 10week 64.66 bpbusi 63.8 bptele 57.7 bpotc 59 bptele 60.2 bptele 61.6 bpmach 63.9 bpfood 64.7 bpsoft 65.7 bpbusi 64.2 bpauto 63.3 bpotc 57.7 bptele 58.9 bpchem 60 bpdrug 61.2 bpdrug 62.6 bpsoft 63.4 bpfood 65.6 bpsoft 63.7 bpchem 63.2 bpchem 55.6 bpelec 57.1 bpmach 59.8 bpauto 60.7 bpotc 62.2 bpchem 62.1 bpbusi 65.6 bpchem 63.6 bpfood 62.4 bpsoft 55 bpsoft 55.9 bpsoft 59.7 bpmach 60.4 bpfood 61.7 bpotc 61.5 bpchem 64.1 bptele 62.9 bpotc 61.2 bpauto 54.8 bpchem 55.6 bpotc 58 bpchem 60.4 bpauto 61.36 bpauto 61.3 bpauto 62.6 bpmeta 62.8 bpsoft 60.8 bpelec 54.6 bpgame 55.6 bpfood 56.8 bpsoft 59.5 bpbusi 59.9 bpbusi 60.7 bpotc 62.4 bpfood 62.5 bpmeta 60.8 bpbusi 53.4 bpfood 55.2 bpauto 56.6 bpotc 59.4 bpchem 58.6 bpmeta 60.3 bpmeta 60.3 bpotc 62.1 bptele 60.7 bpgame 52.8 bpbusi 54.4 bpelec 56 bpfood 58.6 bpcomp 56.6 bpdrug 59 bpoils 60 bpdrug 60 bptext 57.4 bpdrug 51.9 bpauto 53.8 bpdrug 55.9 bpgame 58.2 bptext 56.4 bpoil 58.5 bpoil 59.9 bpoil 58.9 bpstee 56.8 bpcomp 51.2 bpdrug 53.7 bpbusi 55.5 bpbusi 58 bpmeta 56.4 bpgame 58.2 bpdrug 59.7 bprest 58.4 bprest 56.4 bpfood 50 bpcomp 52.8 bpcomp 54.8 bptext 56 bpgame 56.4 bpwast 57 bpgame 58.9 bptext 57.9 bpcomp 55.3 bptext 48.6 bprest 51 bpgame 54.5 bpmeta 53.8 bpwast 54.3 bptext 56.4 bptext 58.6 bpoils 56.4 bpheal 55.2 bpmeta 48 bpmeta 50 bptext 52.8 bprest 53.5 bprest 54 bpoils 56.4 bpwast 57 bpstee 55.4 bpdrug 54.7 bprest 46.9 bptext 47.7 bprest 52 bpcomp 53.1 bpheal 51.9 bprest 56 bprest 56.4 bpcomp 55.4 bpoil 54.2 bpwast 46.6 bpleis 47.2 bpmeta 50.7 bpoils 52.4 bpelec 51.5 bpcomp 54.4 bpcomp 56.1 bpheal 53.8 bpoils 53.6 bpoil 46.2 bpoil 47.2 bpoil 50 bpoil 51.3 bpleis 51.3 bpstee 53.9 bpstee 55.4 bpwast 53.7 bpleis 52 bpheal 44.4 bpwast 46.7 bpwast 49.5 bpelec 50.2 bpsemi 50.9 bpheal 52.6 bpleis 53.9 bpgame 53.4 bpwast 51 bpstee 42.7 bpheal 44.2 bpoils 49.5 bpleis 50 bpoil 50.6 bpleis 52.5 bpheal 53.9 bpleis 52 bpgame 50.8 bpbiom 42.6 bpbiom 42.4 bpleis 48.5 bpsemi 49.5 bpstee 49.4 bpelec 46 bpelec 47.3 bpelec 47.6 bpelec 47.7 bpleis 42.5 bpstee 38.7 bpheal 47.6 bpwast 47.3 bpbiom 45.3 bpbiom 45.1 bpbiom 43.4 bplati 44.2 bpsemi 40.9 bpoils 38.4 bpoils 33 bpstee 44 bpstee 46.1 bpoils 41.1 bplati 42.3 bpsemi 42.7 bpsemi 42.7 bplati 40.4 bpprec 37.3 bpprec 30.9 bpbiom 38.2 bpbiom 42.3 bplati 34.6 bpsemi 41.3 bplati 42.3 bpbiom 41.5 bpprec 40.3 bplati 30.8 bplati 28.8 bpprec 31.51 bplati 34.6 bpprec 24.6 bpprec 24.6 bpprec 32.8 bpprec 41.2 bpbiom 37.1 bplati 30.8 bpprec 29.4 bpintl NA bpintl NA bpintl NA bpintl NA bpintl NA PS Kurlac, it was reported on CNBC, indicated that he expects INTC to hit $60. I wonder if he again missed the train as it pulled out of the station like last time. Naturally, the above is only my opinion and the data which I have reviewed from the Dorsey Wright site. Readers are reminded the old saving, "caveat emptor (buyer/reader beware)." Paul V.

To: Paul V. who wrote (18828)	4/15/1998 5:41:00 PM
From: Tito L. Nisperos Jr.	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 70976

Paul V, The AMAT classic UP-staircase pattern (5 or more days advance forming the riser and 4 days of decline or consolidation forming the tiptoe-step) is being seen in the DOW 30. That's fine since that average usually leads the over-all market advance...INTC should follow, so we should monitor the stock closely. Three to six months after INTC begins its run Up, we should see AMAT following UP to Wrap-Up the Market's Bull move...AMAT should close strongly for the year at around 60, make a recoil point at 63 then springs Up to the 100s. In Aug 1999, when the company begins posting record earnings, we should see the Market consolidate then decline to finalize the second half of the Cycle... That scenario is based on the Past...One thing we should be aware of is that there are changes that may hasten the move Up:--- We may have noticed that the Analysts, while downgrading AMAT are now reluctant to issue Sell signals. As Internet Investing by the small and individual investor becomes more popular (many are now converting their Mutual Funds into self directed Brokerage accounts), we should see the popularity of said Analysts diminished greatly. The Analysts and their clients are following the lead of the small and individual investor --- they buy on Dips (why wait for the 20s and risk being left behind when we could reach the 100s later anyway)...Have you noticed that in this thread, whenever the Bears ( I define them as Bulls that for some reason sold their shares then want to buy them back at lower prices ) speak loud about AMAT sliding to the 20s, the stock slides down a bit then heads Up?.. When we see Tech companies upon Tech companies issuing dismal earnings yet their stocks go Up ---what is the Market telling us?...