SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : LSI Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wolf 2 who wrote (11967)4/28/1998 7:41:00 PM
From: shane forbes  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25814
 
DataQuest predictions (guesses):
techweb.com

(So the semis are +8% for 1998 compared to Lehman -13% for 1998.

If LSI does +8 to +10 points better than the industry that is 16% to 18% revenue growth for 1998 - not to doubt LSI but that puts LSI's revenue for 1998 at about 1.5 billion. I don't think so! With 0.325 billion in the bank this q, and likely 0.338 next q, this means H2 rev. will have to be 0.837 b or assuming 10% seq. growth for q3, 0.372 b. for q3 and 0.465 b for q4 for 1998 a 25% seq. increase.... Mmmm... Somehow I don't think so!

I think Corrigan was making the estimate based on a lower industry growth rate for 1998 - maybe the 0-5% that I was talking about earlier.

Mmmm... then again... If you remove DRAM the 8% overall probably means +14 to +18 % or higher for everything ex-DRAM. So that makes LSI's 8 to 10 points higher than the average a possibility. (And this time we likely do not have to deal with absurdly high MPU growth because of the sub 1000 PC - so that does not skew the ex-DRAM numbers too much.)

Mmmm... again...

Ah but then again if LSI gets to 100% cap in q3, with this q's revenue at 0.325 (assume 85% utilization) with no price increases, this does imply 0.382 b in q3. So maybe LSI could do it.)

Shane.