To: Frank who wrote (2164 ) 4/29/1998 2:43:00 PM From: David S. Respond to of 7150
Okay. You want my honest opinion. I think the stock is great, and we will all make money on it on the short term. However, I want the lowest price, as I am sure others do. Some, are willing to buy it anywhere close to the lowest, as long as they make a profit. I personally like to maximize my profit, without getting sucked in by greed. I play both short and long term. Back to the stock; My observation has been the "Psychology" or perception for the stock is a little weak right now. That is why the positive swings were nil today on up swings of the DOW. My biggest fear is that the rumors might be true about the report numbers borrowing from next quarter, which means things are not as good as indicated by the report. Right now, I could care less about a "potential" threat from MSFT or CSCO. I've looked at the past EPS for the stock and the estimates for them, and everything looks good. Not only that, they consistently have met or exceeded estimated. Now that is impressive, and a sign of good management. It is this that make me believe that their report was accurate. To summarize it all. The reasons I am not jumping back in yet are for the following reasons: 1) At the beginning of this week, many were expecting the DOW to drop to about 8400. Since CHKPF follows the DOW so well, I'd want to wait and see. 2) I want to see the bad feelings regarding the manipulation of the report numbers go away. This can also be seen by better support of the stock. 3) I won't be trading next week, and I don't want to get stuck with any stocks at the end of this week. Except for my medium, and long term holdings. 4) I did not like the weak support for the stock today; especially while the DOW was moving up. 5) I rather wait for a down day in the market before I buy. The "psychology" for this stock indicates lots of anxiety, by which I mean people want to buy and are waiting to buy. The moment the stock begins to move up, many jump in, not wanting to miss-out and end up buying higher.