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Pastimes : Let's Talk About Our Feelings!!! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Krowbar who wrote (21165)	4/30/1998 2:43:00 AM
From: LoLoLoLita	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 108807

Del, For TMI I don't think anyone ever tried to use MACCS, because there was no containment failure--just some venting of noble gases through the stack. For Chernobyl, it's interesting. In the very first few days of the accident, when we really did not have good information on how much stuff was released (but we knew it was real big!), the NRC staff used MACCS to do some calculations to see what dose levels might be found at different distances into Europe. I don't have the report so I can't give you any numbers, but my recollection is that the estimates were helpful. I'm sorry for the vagueness, but I wasn't the one who did the calculations. I do remember one interesting thing though. I was sitting at my desk at work and someone from Archer Daniels Midland (the big food processor) called me, having found my name on a report he found in a literature search. He told me that he was a commodities analyst tasked with figuring out what, if any, impact there might be on the European harvest that summer. He wanted to know how big a region, and distance, might require food disposal. The answer I gave him turned out to be a good guess in that Europe threw away a tremendous amount of food that year. So it was possible that my information, if they acted on it in the futures markets, could have made them a ton of money. No, they never sent me any Thank You note. And soon after that the word came down that we were not to talk to any press or outsiders who wanted us to guess about the accident. David