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To: John Mansfield who wrote (15723)4/30/1998 6:11:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 31646
 
VERY INTERESTING!! 'David Atkinson M.P Visits U.S regarding year 2000

' David Atkinson (Member of Parliament for Bournemouth East) has just
returned from a fact finding visit to the United States regarding the Year
2000 computer and embedded systems problem.

His visit came two weeks after President Clinton established a Tsar and
Tsarina by Executive order to raise awareness about the year 2000 problem.
They are tasked with ensuring that the Federal Government gets it's own
house in order, and then raising awareness of the problem in the international
community.

In his executive order of 4th February the President offered a layman's
description of the Year 2000 Problem "Because of a design feature in many
electronic systems, a large number of activities in the public and private
sectors could be at risk beginning in the year 2000. Some computer systems
and other electronic devices will misinterpret the year "00 as 1900, rather
than 2000. Unless appropriate action is taken, this flaw known as the y2k
problem, can cause systems that support those functions to compute
erroneously or simply not run. Minimising the y2k problem will require a
major technological and managerial effort, and it is critical that the United
States Government do its part in addressing the challenge.

Mr Atkinson was the first Member of Parliament to raise the year 2000
issue in Parliament and remains in the foreground in drawing attention to it.
For three days Mr Atkinson, accompanied by a year 2000 expert in the field
of Embedded systems, Gary Easterbrook of Embedded Systems Solutions
Providers (ESSP Ltd), met with the key politicians and project managers
involved in the Federal Governments Year 2000 projects.

Four themes emerged as the week progressed

Concerns regarding rest of world
Recesion inevitable outcome of Year 2000
Feeling that contingency planning should start now
Customers inundating suppliers in a tsunami of panic

Concerns regarding rest of world
Everyone that we met with was very concerned that the rest of the world
was not acting as decisively as the United States in dealing with this
problem. Most commentators believed, for example, that the United
Kingdom was between a year and a year and a half behind the U.S. Given
the general acceptance that most Federal Agencies and many U.S. Blue
Chip organisations in the private sector can only fix mission critical systems,
where did that leave the rest of the international community in the race
against time? The consensus was that there would be very severe impact
both to technology and the economy.

Recesion inevitable outcome of the Year 2000
Following this first conclusion, it was striking that so many people would talk
about recession being the inevitable outcome of the year 2000.

Feeling that contingency planning should start now
Most people felt that contingency planning for the private and public sector
should start now.

Customers inundating suppliers in a tsunami of panic
Fear was raised that in the area of Embedded Systems in particular,
customers would inundate the suppliers of electronic equipment and
microchips with requests for information, and they would be unable to cope.
Gary Easterbrook spoke of a tsunami of panic. The vendors will be deluged.
They will not have the people to open the post on a Monday morning. U.S.
commentator Peter Pittaway said, The chip fairy will not turn up.

Diary

On Monday 23rd February Mr David Atkinson and Gary Easterbrook held a
meeting with Kathy Adams running the Social Security Administrations year
2000 project. Recognised as being one of the most advanced Federal
projects Kathy Adams said "At social security we started a long time ago.
We had a system break which was the best thing we could have happened
to us. We keep track of peoples lives-births, marriages, deaths so we are
particularly date intensive. At SSA we put out 50 million payments a month.
Half of those recipients would be in poverty if they didn't have them.
Typically they take a nanosecond to turn them into cash
David Atkinson So if you're dead they are dead?
Kathy Adams "That's right.We have renovated almost all of our
software.We spent 6 months developing a test plan. People have
underestimated the amount of time that testing would take. I would be
extremely nervous if I were not into testing right now.

Staff of Senator James Inhofe reported to Mr Atkinson that the Senator was
dismayed at the Administrations lack of interest. The Senator is head of the
Readiness Committee.Dan Groeshen, National Defence Fellow said
"Readiness means moving fuel in times of crisis- moving soup and bullets.
There is lots of concern with air traffic control systems-some of them still
have tubes in.
Tony Valletta running the project at the Department of Defence (possibly
the largest project in the world) last week invited "our closest allies to a
meeting about the year 2000 problem. He told Mr Atkinson that the MOD
and representatives from Australia, New New Zealand, Canada and France
had been invited. The DOD has identified 28000 applications of which 3000
are mission critical. Mr Valletta said "We want to set the standard for
international co-operation. Us (DOD) working with your MOD. Banks
working with banks. There are huge logistical problems, however. My Navy
is all over the world. It's deployed. How do you go in there, fix the problem
when they are in an operational scenario.

Mr Valletta says "We have found embedded chips in our smart buildings. A
lot of our medical equipment has embedded chips. He went on to stress that
his concern was not in the area of weaponry "Our weapons systems are not
a big problem. The support equipment is a problem. Bombs will not fall out
of the sky. Sons and daughters will be safe.

Frank Gaffney Director of The Center For Security Policy, a Washington
D.C. "Think Tank, advised Mr Atkinson "Most people who are affected by
this are unaware of the problem Mr Gaffney was asked why he was
particularly critical of Vice President Al Gore. "This issue is not sexy. It has
the potential to be his undoing. Tony Blair is very well positioned to raise the
awareness of this issue

Mr Atkinson had a further meeting with the newly appointed Tsarina of the
Year 2000 Conversion Council, Sally Katzen. Through her boss, Mr John
Koskinen, she reports directly in to President Clinton. She reported that the
Council's first job was to get their own house in order, focusing on the
departments that were most behind. Included in this category were the
departments of Agriculture, Health and Human Resources, Transport and
Energy. The Federal Government does not intend ensuring that consumer's
personal goods (fire alarms VCR's and so on) will work in the year 2000.

The last meeting of the week took place in Congress between the 2
Republican politicians most concerned with the year 2000, Steve Horn and
Connie Morella, And Mr Atkinson and Gary Easterbrook of ESSP. Steve
Horn reported that the Federal Bank was very active, but one smaller bank
was punitively closed down for several days because it was not working on
its year 2000 problem.

Earlier in the year Congressman Horn had a meeting with Mikhail
Gorbachev who had recommended that an association of political leaders
address this problem. The congressman went on to suggest that it might be a
good idea in the U.K. to hold a royal Commission. Mr Atkinson reminded
him of Harold Wilson's words Royal Commissions takes minutes and lasts
years! Mr Horn explained how he was scoring the Government Agencies A
to F as you would in a school report. (See attached). At this point his
technical aid, Bob Ellaway commented. My job is trying to make the disaster
smaller. The reality is that even for the mission critical applications they will
not be fixed until the year 2007 or 2009.
essp.co.uk