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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Wexler who wrote (8317)5/4/1998 8:40:00 PM
From: Ploni  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
Bill,

Your post on J.C. Penney reminded me of something I meant to write earlier.

I posted about a shopping spree at a local K-Mart which closed, as I bought all sorts of worthless items for 99% off. (There was very little left by that point.)

Do you remember that in late 1995, early 1996, there were rumors that K-Mart would be unable to pay creditors, etc., and their stock dropped to 5 and a fraction? It has since recovered as high as 19, and is now at 17 9/16.

One local store has closed, and another has begun the same process. My mother, who has a better feel for shopping than I, says that she has seen this trend with other retailers, and that once they get to the point of closing multiple stores, they always end up going under.

So according to my mom, K-Mart (KM) is a short to zero.



To: Bill Wexler who wrote (8317)5/4/1998 9:03:00 PM
From: Pancho Villa  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18691
 
Bill, I like the JCP idea.

Pancho



To: Bill Wexler who wrote (8317)5/4/1998 10:25:00 PM
From: Don Westermeyer  Respond to of 18691
 
Hey, since were talking about shorting boring stocks now....

I'll point out that Black & Decker (BDK) was suggested as a short in a newsletter I get. Evidently a large percentage of BDK's growth was in Asia. Also insiders are on the sell. Unfortuantly that is all the detail I remember. FWIW...




To: Bill Wexler who wrote (8317)5/4/1998 10:50:00 PM
From: Joey Two-Cents  Respond to of 18691
 
Bill another sector that fits your criteria of overpriced and less volatile is the Autos. As S Korea and Japan start exporting an increasing # of cheaper atutos to the US, Ford, GM & Chrysler will have to offer rebates and 0% financing to move cars they will see their profit margins squeezed.